Bundesliga 2025-2026: Union Berlin vs Freiburg Prediction
Union Berlin
Home Team
32%
VS
Freiburg
Away Team
45%
Draw: 23%
Over 2.5:
48%
Under 2.5:
52%
Goal:
55%
No Goal:
45%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 4 | 26 | 24 |
| 2 | RB Leipzig | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 19 |
| 3 | Stuttgart | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 18 |
| 4 | Dortmund | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | Leverkusen | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 17 |
| 6 | Ein Frankfurt | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | Hoffenheim | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | FC Koln | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 11 |
| 9 | Werder Bremen | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
| 10 | Union Berlin | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 10 |
| 11 | Freiburg | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 9 |
| 12 | Wolfsburg | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 8 |
| 13 | Hamburg | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | St Pauli | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 7 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 7 |
| 16 | Mainz | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 4 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 | M'gladbach | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 3 |
Recent Trends
Union Berlin
- Last Match: vs Werder Bremen (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs M'gladbach (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Leverkusen (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Hamburg (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Ein Frankfurt (Goals: 4 - 3)
Freiburg
- Last Match: vs Leverkusen (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Ein Frankfurt (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs M'gladbach (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Hoffenheim (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Werder Bremen (Goals: 3 - 0)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Union Berlin
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.67
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.72
# Clean Sheets:
1
Freiburg
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.13
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.51
# Clean Sheets:
2
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Freiburg is predicted to tilt in favor of the away team, Freiburg, with a 45.0% probability of winning. Union Berlin has a 32.0% chance of securing victory, while the likelihood of a draw stands at 23.0%. Based on the standings, Union Berlin is positioned 10th with 10 points, whereas Freiburg trails closely behind in 11th place with 9 points. The game is expected to be a low-scoring affair, with a 48.0% chance that fewer than 2.5 goals will be scored.
Match Analysis
Union Berlin's recent form presents a mixed picture, with a win sandwiched between two losses in their last three outings. They managed a 3-1 victory at home against M'gladbach but suffered defeats to Werder Bremen (0-1) and Leverkusen (0-2) on the road. Union Berlin's scoring has been inconsistent, averaging 1.75 goals over the past five games, while their defense has been somewhat leaky, conceding 1.5 goals per game.
Freiburg, meanwhile, is coming off a series of draws and a loss. They drew 2-2 with Eintracht Frankfurt and were held to a goalless stalemate by M'gladbach, along with a 0-2 defeat to Leverkusen. Freiburg's recent games highlight their defensive stability, with two clean sheets in the last five matches. However, their attack has been less prolific, averaging just 1.0 goal per game.
Final Prediction
Freiburg's slight edge in this matchup can be attributed to their solid defensive performances in recent games with two clean sheets. Their ability to stifle Union Berlin's attack could prove decisive. A key factor to watch will be whether Freiburg can capitalize on Union Berlin's defensive vulnerabilities, potentially securing a narrow victory on the road.