Bundesliga 2024-2025: Wolfsburg vs Hoffenheim Prediction

Wolfsburg

Home Team
55%
VS

Hoffenheim

Away Team
22%
Draw: 23%
Over 2.5: 64%
Under 2.5: 36%
Goal: 61%
No Goal: 39%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 32 23 7 2 93 32 61 76
2 Leverkusen 32 19 11 2 68 37 31 68
3 Ein Frankfurt 32 16 8 8 63 43 20 56
4 Freiburg 32 15 7 10 46 49 -3 52
5 Dortmund 32 15 6 11 64 49 15 51
6 RB Leipzig 32 13 11 8 51 45 6 50
7 Mainz 32 13 9 10 49 40 9 48
8 Werder Bremen 32 13 8 11 50 56 -6 47
9 M'gladbach 32 13 6 13 55 54 1 45
10 Stuttgart 32 12 8 12 57 51 6 44
11 Augsburg 32 11 10 11 34 45 -11 43
12 Wolfsburg 32 10 9 13 53 52 1 39
13 Union Berlin 32 9 10 13 33 47 -14 37
14 St Pauli 32 8 7 17 26 37 -11 31
15 Hoffenheim 32 7 10 15 44 62 -18 31
16 Heidenheim 32 7 5 20 33 60 -27 26
17 Holstein Kiel 32 6 7 19 48 75 -27 25
18 Bochum 32 5 7 20 30 63 -33 22

Recent Trends

Wolfsburg ❌ ❌ ⚪ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Dortmund (Goals: 0 - 4)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Freiburg (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Mainz (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs RB Leipzig (Goals: 2 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Union Berlin (Goals: 0 - 1)

Hoffenheim ⚪ ❌ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs M'gladbach (Goals: 4 - 4)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Dortmund (Goals: 2 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Freiburg (Goals: 2 - 3)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Mainz (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs RB Leipzig (Goals: 1 - 3)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Wolfsburg

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.50
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.52
# Clean Sheets: 0

Hoffenheim

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.16
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.55
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

Wolfsburg is predicted to emerge victorious in their upcoming clash against Hoffenheim, with a probability of 55.0% favoring the home team. The match is also expected to feature over 2.5 goals, with a 64.0% probability, suggesting a potentially high-scoring encounter. Sitting in 12th place, Wolfsburg will host Hoffenheim, who are precariously positioned at 15th in the Bundesliga table, just above the relegation zone.

Match Analysis

Both teams have struggled for form in their recent matches, with Wolfsburg failing to secure a win in their last three outings. They have endured two losses against Dortmund and Freiburg, managing only a draw against Mainz. Despite their recent struggles, Wolfsburg has shown resilience, managing to score twice against Mainz in a challenging away fixture. Hoffenheim's recent performances have mirrored those of Wolfsburg, with no wins in their last three games. They played out a thrilling 4-4 draw against M'gladbach but suffered narrow losses to Dortmund and Freiburg. Hoffenheim's inability to keep clean sheets, with only one in their last five matches, may be a concern as they prepare to face Wolfsburg. Advanced metrics indicate that Wolfsburg averages 0.8 goals per game while conceding 1.4, hinting at their defensive vulnerabilities. Their expected goals suggest they might have been unlucky not to score more. Meanwhile, Hoffenheim averages 1.6 goals per game but concedes 2.2 on average, pointing to potential defensive weaknesses that Wolfsburg could exploit.

Final Prediction

Wolfsburg's slight edge in the predicted outcome can be attributed to their home advantage and Hoffenheim's defensive frailties. A key factor to watch will be Wolfsburg's ability to capitalize on Hoffenheim's defensive lapses, potentially leading to a high-scoring affair. Football fans should expect an engaging match with plenty of goal-scoring opportunities.