La Liga 2025-2026: Alaves vs Espanol Prediction
Alaves
Home Team
42%
VS
Espanol
Away Team
31%
Draw: 28%
Over 2.5:
47%
Under 2.5:
53%
Goal:
54%
No Goal:
46%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Madrid | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 10 | 12 | 27 |
| 2 | Barcelona | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 22 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 20 |
| 4 | Ath Madrid | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 19 |
| 5 | Espanol | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 18 |
| 6 | Betis | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 16 |
| 7 | Vallecano | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 14 |
| 8 | Elche | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 | Betis | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Getafe | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 14 |
| 11 | Sevilla | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 13 |
| 12 | Alaves | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 12 |
| 13 | Celta | 10 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 | Osasuna | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 | Levante | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 9 |
| 16 | Mallorca | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 9 |
| 17 | Sociedad | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 9 |
| 18 | Valencia | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 9 |
| 19 | Oviedo | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 7 |
| 20 | Girona | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 7 |
Recent Trends
Alaves
- Last Match: vs Vallecano (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Valencia (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Elche (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Mallorca (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Getafe (Goals: 1 - 1)
Espanol
- Last Match: vs Elche (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Oviedo (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Betis (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Girona (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Valencia (Goals: 2 - 2)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Alaves
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.48
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
0.71
# Clean Sheets:
1
Espanol
Average Expected Goals (xG):
2.06
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.44
# Clean Sheets:
3
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Alaves and Espanyol is predicted to favor the home team, Alaves, with a 42.0% chance of winning. The odds for Espanyol are slightly lower at 31.0%, while a draw stands at 28.0%. Based on these probabilities, Alaves is expected to edge out their visitors. The match is also predicted to feature fewer than 2.5 goals, with a 47.0% likelihood of this occurring. Currently, Espanyol sits in 5th place on the La Liga table, while Alaves holds the 12th position.
Match Analysis
Recent performances show contrasting fortunes for both teams. Alaves has had a mixed bag of results in their last three outings, registering a win, a draw, and a loss. Notably, their victory against Elche, where they scored three goals at home, highlights their capability when playing on familiar turf. However, their recent inability to score against Valencia and Vallecano may be concerning. Alaves has managed an average of 1.4 goals per game in their last five matches while conceding an average of 1.0 goals, with a strong defensive display at times.
Espanyol, on the other hand, has displayed a resilient form, winning two of their last three matches. A notable away win at Oviedo and a home victory against Elche underline their ability to secure results both home and away. Espanyol's defense has been particularly robust, achieving three clean sheets in their last five matches. Despite scoring an average of 1.0 goals per game over this period, their expected goals tally of 2.0625 suggests they have the potential to be more prolific in front of goal.
Final Prediction
The edge for Alaves in this encounter stems primarily from their home advantage and recent strong performance against Elche. Their solid defensive record could be a decisive factor in this matchup. Fans should keep an eye on how Espanyol's defense holds up against Alaves' attacking efforts, as a key factor could be whether Espanyol can maintain their recent trend of clean sheets.