La Liga 2024-2025: Alaves vs Villarreal Prediction - 8 Mar 2025

Alaves' recent form has been less than inspiring, with no wins in their last three outings. They managed a 1-1 draw against Mallorca away, but suffered a narrow 0-1 defeat at home to Espanol, and drew 3-3 with Leganes in a match that showcased their defensive vulnerabilities. On the other hand, Villarreal comes into this fixture on a more positive note, having secured a crucial 1-0 away victory over Vallecano and a 2-1 win against Las Palmas. They also held Valencia to a 1-1 draw at home, demonstrating resilience in tight matches. Looking at the advanced metrics, Alaves has struggled offensively, scoring an average of only 0.4 goals per game in their last five matches, while conceding an average of 1.0. Their expected goals scored (1.244) suggest they have been somewhat unlucky in front of goal, but their defensive frailties are apparent. Villarreal, meanwhile, has been more potent in attack, averaging 1.8 goals per game, with a solid expected goals figure of 1.814. Their defense has also been reasonably tight, conceding an average of 1.0 goals per match, with one clean sheet in their last five outings.