La Liga 2025-2026: Ath Madrid vs Alaves Prediction

Ath Madrid

Home Team
91%
VS

Alaves

Away Team
3%
Draw: 5%
Over 2.5: 58%
Under 2.5: 42%
Goal: 53%
No Goal: 47%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 19 16 1 2 53 20 33 49
2 Real Madrid 19 14 3 2 41 17 24 45
3 Villarreal 18 13 2 3 37 17 20 41
4 Ath Madrid 19 11 5 3 34 17 17 38
5 Espanol 19 10 4 5 23 20 3 34
6 Betis 19 7 8 4 31 25 6 29
7 Celta 19 7 8 4 25 20 5 29
8 Betis 19 7 3 9 17 25 -8 24
9 Elche 19 5 8 6 25 24 1 23
10 Vallecano 19 5 7 7 16 22 -6 22
11 Sociedad 19 5 6 8 24 27 -3 21
12 Getafe 19 6 3 10 15 25 -10 21
13 Girona 19 5 6 8 18 34 -16 21
14 Sevilla 19 6 2 11 24 30 -6 20
15 Osasuna 19 5 4 10 18 22 -4 19
16 Alaves 19 5 4 10 16 24 -8 19
17 Mallorca 19 4 6 9 21 28 -7 18
18 Valencia 19 3 8 8 18 31 -13 17
19 Levante 18 3 5 10 21 30 -9 14
20 Oviedo 19 2 7 10 9 28 -19 13

Recent Trends

Ath Madrid ⚪ ✅ ✅ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Sociedad (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Girona (Goals: 3 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Valencia (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Barcelona (Goals: 1 - 3)

Alaves ❌ ⚪ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Villarreal (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Oviedo (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Osasuna (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Real Madrid (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Sociedad (Goals: 1 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Ath Madrid

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.55
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.97
# Clean Sheets: 1

Alaves

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.41
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.82
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

In the upcoming La Liga clash, Ath Madrid is heavily favored to secure victory against Alaves with a staggering 91.0% probability. The likelihood of a high-scoring affair is also prominent, with a 58.0% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored. Ath Madrid currently sits comfortably in 4th place with 38 points, while Alaves is struggling at 16th position, battling to stay out of the relegation zone.

Match Analysis

Ath Madrid enters this fixture with a solid recent form, having secured two wins and a draw in their last three matches. They demonstrated their attacking prowess with a 3-0 win over Girona and a resilient 2-1 home victory against Valencia. The team's defense has been commendable, conceding only twice in these games. Advanced metrics reveal Ath Madrid's impressive attacking efficiency, averaging 2.2 goals per game in the last five matches, while their defense has been equally robust, conceding just 0.4 goals on average. On the other hand, Alaves has had a challenging run, with no wins in their last three matches, including a tough 3-0 loss to Osasuna and a 3-1 defeat against Villarreal. The team has struggled to find the back of the net, averaging only 0.4 goals per game in recent outings. Their defense has been porous, conceding 2.2 goals on average. However, their expected goals metrics suggest they have the potential to create more scoring opportunities than they have capitalized on.

Final Prediction

Ath Madrid's strong defensive record and consistent goal-scoring form give them a significant advantage in this matchup. Their ability to control games and capitalize on scoring chances will be crucial. A key factor to watch will be Ath Madrid’s offensive strategies, particularly how they exploit Alaves' defensive vulnerabilities to secure a decisive win.