La Liga 2025-2026: Ath Madrid vs Mallorca Prediction - 25 Jan 2026

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Ath Madrid

Home Team
95%
VS

Mallorca

Away Team
2%
Draw: 3%
Over 2.5: 56%
Under 2.5: 44%
Goal: 52%
No Goal: 48%

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Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 20 16 1 3 54 22 32 49
2 Real Madrid 20 15 3 2 43 17 26 48
3 Villarreal 19 13 2 4 37 19 18 41
4 Ath Madrid 20 12 5 3 35 17 18 41
5 Espanol 20 10 4 6 23 22 1 34
6 Betis 20 8 8 4 33 25 8 32
7 Celta 20 8 8 4 28 20 8 32
8 Elche 20 5 9 6 27 26 1 24
9 Sociedad 20 6 6 8 26 28 -2 24
10 Betis 20 7 3 10 19 28 -9 24
11 Girona 20 6 6 8 20 34 -14 24
12 Osasuna 20 6 4 10 21 24 -3 22
13 Vallecano 20 5 7 8 16 25 -9 22
14 Sevilla 20 6 3 11 26 32 -6 21
15 Mallorca 20 5 6 9 24 30 -6 21
16 Getafe 20 6 3 11 15 26 -11 21
17 Valencia 20 4 8 8 19 31 -12 20
18 Alaves 20 5 4 11 16 25 -9 19
19 Levante 19 3 5 11 21 32 -11 14
20 Oviedo 20 2 7 11 11 31 -20 13

Recent Trends

Ath Madrid W D W W L

  • Last Match: W vs Alaves (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: D vs Sociedad (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: W vs Girona (Goals: 3 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: W vs Valencia (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: L vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 0 - 1)

Mallorca W L L D W

  • Last Match: W vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 3 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: L vs Vallecano (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: L vs Girona (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: D vs Valencia (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Elche (Goals: 3 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Ath Madrid

xG (avg) 2.46
xGA (avg) 1.01
Clean Sheets 2

Mallorca

xG (avg) 0.80
xGA (avg) 2.25
Clean Sheets 0

Key Prediction Insights

Athletic Madrid is heavily favored to win their upcoming match against Mallorca, with a staggering 95.0% probability of taking the victory. Currently, Ath Madrid holds the 4th position in La Liga, while Mallorca is lingering near the bottom in 15th place. The game is also expected to have more than 2.5 goals, with a probability of 56.0%, suggesting an entertaining encounter on the cards.

Match Analysis

In recent performances, Ath Madrid has been showcasing solid form, securing two wins and a draw in their last three matches. Their recent victory over Alaves and a convincing away win against Girona highlight their attacking prowess. Ath Madrid's defense has been particularly impressive, maintaining two clean sheets in their last five games, and conceding an average of just 0.4 goals per match. The team has been efficient in attack, scoring an average of 2.2 goals and keeping expected goals at 2.456. Mallorca, on the other hand, has struggled to find consistent form. With only one win against Ath Bilbao and two consecutive losses against Vallecano and Girona, they have been on a downward trajectory. The team has managed to score an average of 0.6 goals per game while conceding 1.6. Their expected goals metrics suggest they have been slightly underperforming, with an average of 0.802 expected goals per game. Defensively, Mallorca has been leaky, with no clean sheets in their last five matches.

Final Prediction

Ath Madrid's superior form and standing in the league give them a significant edge in this encounter. Their defensive solidity and attacking efficiency are key components that support the prediction of a home victory. Fans should keep an eye on Ath Madrid's ability to maintain their clean sheet streak, as it could be a decisive factor in securing the win.

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