La Liga 2025-2026: Barcelona vs Alaves Prediction

Barcelona

Home Team
96%
VS

Alaves

Away Team
2%
Draw: 3%
Over 2.5: 61%
Under 2.5: 39%
Goal: 60%
No Goal: 40%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Real Madrid 13 10 2 1 28 12 16 32
2 Barcelona 13 10 1 2 36 15 21 31
3 Villarreal 13 9 2 2 26 11 15 29
4 Ath Madrid 13 8 4 1 25 11 14 28
5 Betis 13 5 6 2 20 14 6 21
6 Espanol 13 6 3 4 17 16 1 21
7 Getafe 13 5 2 6 12 15 -3 17
8 Betis 13 5 2 6 12 17 -5 17
9 Sociedad 13 4 4 5 17 18 -1 16
10 Elche 13 3 7 3 15 16 -1 16
11 Sevilla 13 5 1 7 19 21 -2 16
12 Celta 13 3 7 3 16 18 -2 16
13 Vallecano 13 4 4 5 12 14 -2 16
14 Alaves 13 4 3 6 11 12 -1 15
15 Valencia 13 3 4 6 12 21 -9 13
16 Mallorca 13 3 3 7 13 20 -7 12
17 Osasuna 13 3 2 8 10 16 -6 11
18 Girona 13 2 5 6 12 25 -13 11
19 Levante 13 2 3 8 16 24 -8 9
20 Oviedo 13 2 3 8 7 20 -13 9

Recent Trends

Barcelona ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 4 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Celta (Goals: 4 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Elche (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Real Madrid (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Girona (Goals: 2 - 1)

Alaves ❌ ❌ ✅ ❌ ⚪

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Celta (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Girona (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Espanol (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Vallecano (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Valencia (Goals: 0 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Barcelona

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.71
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.89
# Clean Sheets: 1

Alaves

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.06
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.06
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

Barcelona is heavily favored to win their upcoming match against Alaves, with an overwhelming 96% probability. The game is expected to have over 2.5 goals, given a 61% likelihood of this outcome. Currently, Barcelona sits in 2nd place in La Liga, just one point behind league leaders Real Madrid, while Alaves is positioned 14th, striving to distance themselves from the relegation zone.

Match Analysis

In recent performances, Barcelona has been on a formidable run, securing victories in their last three matches. Their attacking prowess was on full display with a total of 11 goals scored and only 3 conceded, indicating a robust offensive and defensive setup. Key victories against Ath Bilbao and Celta demonstrate their capability to perform both at home and away. This trend is further supported by their average of 2.8 goals scored per game in the last five matches, alongside maintaining a solid defensive record with an average of 0.6 goals conceded. In contrast, Alaves has experienced a mixed bag of results, with a solitary win in their last three encounters. Their recent losses to Celta and Girona highlight some struggles, particularly in the offensive department, where they've averaged only 0.4 goals per game over the last five matches. Defensively, they have been slightly more stable, conceding an average of 0.8 goals per game, which suggests they might attempt to adopt a more conservative approach against Barcelona.

Final Prediction

The odds are heavily in favor of Barcelona, bolstered by their recent form and attacking efficiency. Their ability to consistently find the back of the net while maintaining defensive solidity gives them a significant edge over Alaves. A key factor to watch during the game will be Barcelona's attacking tempo, as they look to break down Alaves' defense and secure a vital three points to keep the pressure on Real Madrid at the top of the table.