La Liga 2025-2026: Celta vs Ath Bilbao Prediction
Celta
Home Team
39%
VS
Ath Bilbao
Away Team
35%
Draw: 26%
Over 2.5:
46%
Under 2.5:
54%
Goal:
55%
No Goal:
45%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 16 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 40 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 15 | 17 | 36 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 35 |
| 4 | Ath Madrid | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 31 |
| 5 | Espanol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 27 |
| 6 | Betis | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 24 |
| 7 | Betis | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 23 |
| 8 | Getafe | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 20 |
| 9 | Elche | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
| 10 | Celta | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
| 11 | Alaves | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 18 |
| 12 | Vallecano | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
| 13 | Sevilla | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
| 14 | Sociedad | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 16 |
| 15 | Osasuna | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
| 16 | Valencia | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
| 17 | Mallorca | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 14 |
| 18 | Girona | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 29 | -16 | 12 |
| 19 | Oviedo | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 22 | -15 | 10 |
| 20 | Levante | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 9 |
Recent Trends
Celta
- Last Match: vs Real Madrid (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Espanol (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Alaves (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Barcelona (Goals: 2 - 4)
- 5th Last Match: vs Levante (Goals: 2 - 1)
Ath Bilbao
- Last Match: vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Real Madrid (Goals: 0 - 3)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Levante (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Barcelona (Goals: 0 - 4)
- 5th Last Match: vs Oviedo (Goals: 1 - 0)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Celta
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.19
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.66
# Clean Sheets:
2
Ath Bilbao
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.36
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.61
# Clean Sheets:
3
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Celta and Athletic Bilbao is shaping up to be a closely contested battle. Celta has a slight edge with a 39.0% probability of winning at home, compared to a 35.0% chance for Athletic Bilbao to take the victory. The match is predicted to have fewer than 2.5 goals, with a 46.0% likelihood of this outcome. In the current La Liga standings, Celta occupies the 10th position, while Athletic Bilbao isn't listed, indicating they may be slightly lower in the table.
Match Analysis
Celta's recent form has been a mixed bag, with two wins and one loss in their last three games. Notably, they pulled off an impressive away victory against Real Madrid, showing their capability to challenge top-tier teams. However, a narrow home loss to Espanyol highlights inconsistency. Celta's ability to keep clean sheets in two of their recent matches could be crucial in this encounter.
Athletic Bilbao, on the other hand, has demonstrated resilience with two wins in their last three games, including a significant victory over Atlético Madrid. Their away win against Levante also suggests they can perform when traveling. Bilbao's defensive solidity is underscored by three clean sheets in their last five matches, although their goal-scoring average remains low at 0.8 per game.
Final Prediction
Celta is poised to take advantage of their home venue, potentially leveraging their recent strong performances against formidable opponents like Real Madrid. Their ability to maintain clean sheets could prove decisive, as Athletic Bilbao's attacking output has been limited. A key factor to observe during the match will be Celta's defensive organization, which might just give them the edge they need to secure a victory.