Levante
La Liga · ELO profile, season forecast & model record
Season ELO trajectory
One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time. Second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.
Season simulation
2026-27 season forecast
Projected: #11 of 20 47.4 expected pts · currently 6 pts after 7 matches
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date (the dashed stretch covers rounds still to be played). Lower is better.
Full La Liga simulation: every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
2025-26: what the model simulated, and what happened
Final: #18 of 20 in La Liga 42 pts · 11W-9D-18L · GD -14
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date. Lower is better.
Full La Liga simulation: every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
How predictable is Levante?
In line with the league 2025-26 · 29 predicted matches
We grade every match forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade. Say 70% and it does not, bad grade, and the more confident we were, the bigger the penalty. Averaged over the season, Levante's results were 6.3% easier to call than the La Liga average. How this is measured.
| Market | Levante | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | 58.6% | 51.8% |
| Under/Over 2.5 goals | 62.1% | 58.2% |
| Both teams to score | 48.3% | 55.6% |
Share of predicted matches our as-published prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average over the same season.
Season by season
| Season | League | Pos | Start | Peak | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | La Liga | #14 | 1478 | 1511 | 1464 |
| 2025-26 | La Liga | #7 | 1482 | 1517 | 1517 |
| 2024-25 | Segunda División | #1 | 1564 | 1688 | 1688 |
| 2023-24 | Segunda División | #6 | 1585 | 1640 | 1544 |
| 2022-23 | Segunda División | #3 | 1498 | 1655 | 1609 |
| 2021-22 | La Liga | #9 | 1502 | 1502 | 1493 |
| 2020-21 | La Liga | #17 | 1480 | 1556 | 1403 |
| 2019-20 | La Liga | #9 | 1482 | 1524 | 1487 |
| 2018-19 | La Liga | #13 | 1534 | 1538 | 1468 |
| 2017-18 | La Liga | #7 | 1518 | 1538 | 1533 |
| 2015-16 | La Liga | #19 | 1471 | 1471 | 1397 |
| 2014-15 | La Liga | #15 | 1467 | 1467 | 1414 |
ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.
Recent matches: model vs reality
| Date | Opponent | Model said | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | vs Sevilla | L Levante 26.4% · draw 23.6% | D ✗ |
| Sep 20, 2026 | at Villarreal | L Levante 12.5% · draw 17.4% | L ✓ |
Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0
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