Levante

La Liga · ELO profile, season forecast & model record

ELO 1510 · #9 La Liga 1W-1D-1L · 4 pts On script Updated Sep 03, 2026

Season ELO trajectory

One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time. Second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.

Season simulation

2026-27 season forecast

Projected: #9 of 20 53.0 expected pts · currently 4 pts after 3 matches

League title 0.1%
Champions League places 12.9%
Europa League 17.5%
Relegation 3.6%

The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date (the dashed stretch covers rounds still to be played). Lower is better.

Full La Liga simulation: every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →

How predictable is Levante?

On script 2025-26 · 32 predicted matches

We grade every match forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade. Say 70% and it does not, bad grade, and the more confident we were, the bigger the penalty. Averaged over the season, Levante's results were 10.2% easier to call than the La Liga average. How this is measured.

MarketLevanteLeague avg
Match result (1X2) 59.4% 51.1%
Under/Over 2.5 goals 68.8% 58.6%
Both teams to score 50.0% 56.7%

Share of predicted matches our as-published prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average over the same season.

Season by season

SeasonLeaguePosStartPeakEnd
2026-27 La Liga #9 1478 1510 1510
2025-26 La Liga #7 1482 1517 1517
2024-25 Segunda División #1 1564 1688 1688
2023-24 Segunda División #6 1585 1640 1544
2022-23 Segunda División #3 1498 1655 1609
2021-22 La Liga #9 1502 1502 1493
2020-21 La Liga #17 1480 1556 1403
2019-20 La Liga #9 1482 1524 1487
2018-19 La Liga #13 1534 1538 1468
2017-18 La Liga #7 1518 1538 1533
2015-16 La Liga #19 1471 1471 1397
2014-15 La Liga #15 1467 1467 1414

ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.

Recent matches: model vs reality

DateOpponentModel saidResult
May 17, 2026 vs Mallorca W Levante 55.1% · draw 21.9% W ✓
May 12, 2026 at Celta Vigo L Levante 20.6% · draw 20.6% W ✗
May 08, 2026 vs Osasuna L Levante 30.4% · draw 24.8% W ✗
May 02, 2026 at Villarreal L Levante 12.7% · draw 14.5% L ✓
Apr 27, 2026 at Espanyol L Levante 24.5% · draw 23.2% D ✗
Apr 23, 2026 vs Sevilla W Levante 56.9% · draw 21.4% W ✓
Apr 13, 2026 vs Getafe W Levante 46.9% · draw 25.2% W ✓
Apr 04, 2026 at Real Sociedad L Levante 22.3% · draw 21.7% L ✓
Mar 21, 2026 vs Real Oviedo W Levante 55.3% · draw 22.0% W ✓
Mar 16, 2026 at Rayo Vallecano L Levante 14.7% · draw 16.1% D ✗

Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0

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