La Liga 2025-2026: Elche vs Girona Prediction

Elche

Home Team
66%
VS

Girona

Away Team
16%
Draw: 18%
Over 2.5: 55%
Under 2.5: 45%
Goal: 54%
No Goal: 46%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 15 12 1 2 42 17 25 37
2 Real Madrid 15 11 3 1 32 13 19 36
3 Villarreal 14 10 2 2 29 13 16 32
4 Ath Madrid 15 9 4 2 28 14 14 31
5 Betis 14 6 6 2 22 14 8 24
6 Espanol 14 7 3 4 18 16 2 24
7 Getafe 14 6 2 6 13 15 -2 20
8 Betis 15 6 2 7 14 20 -6 20
9 Vallecano 14 4 5 5 13 15 -2 17
10 Sociedad 14 4 4 6 19 21 -2 16
11 Elche 14 3 7 4 15 17 -2 16
12 Celta 14 3 7 4 16 19 -3 16
13 Sevilla 14 5 1 8 19 23 -4 16
14 Alaves 14 4 3 7 12 15 -3 15
15 Valencia 14 3 5 6 13 22 -9 14
16 Mallorca 14 3 4 7 15 22 -7 13
17 Osasuna 14 3 3 8 12 18 -6 12
18 Girona 14 2 6 6 13 26 -13 12
19 Levante 14 2 3 9 16 26 -10 9
20 Oviedo 14 2 3 9 7 22 -15 9

Recent Trends

Elche ❌ ⚪ ⚪ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Getafe (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Real Madrid (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Sociedad (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Barcelona (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Espanol (Goals: 0 - 1)

Girona ⚪ ⚪ ✅ ❌ ⚪

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Real Madrid (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Betis (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Alaves (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Getafe (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Oviedo (Goals: 3 - 3)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Elche

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.77
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.50
# Clean Sheets: 0

Girona

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.40
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.85
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Elche and Girona sees Elche favored with a 66.0% chance of securing a home victory. The prediction also leans towards a high-scoring affair, with a 55.0% probability of the match having over 2.5 goals. Elche sits in 11th place in La Liga, while Girona finds themselves in a precarious 18th position, just above the relegation zone.

Match Analysis

Elche's recent form suggests resilience, having drawn against heavyweight Real Madrid and Sociedad after a narrow defeat to Getafe. Despite not securing wins, their ability to score against such formidable opponents indicates potential. Over the last five games, Elche has averaged 1.2 goals per match, slightly lower than their expected goals of 1.768, indicating room for improvement in finishing. Girona, on the other hand, comes into this match with a mixed set of results including a commendable draw against Real Madrid and a victory over Alaves. With an average of 1.0 goals scored across their last five matches and conceding 1.4, Girona's defensive vulnerabilities could be a concern. Their expected goals conceded stand at 1.846, suggesting that their defense might be under more pressure than they'd like.

Final Prediction

Elche's higher probability of winning is bolstered by their slightly better form and home advantage, combined with Girona's struggles in defense. Observers should keep an eye on Elche's attacking efficiency, which could be pivotal in capitalizing on Girona's defensive lapses. The potential for a high-scoring game adds excitement to this fixture, promising plenty of action for fans.