La Liga 2025-2026: Elche vs Sociedad Prediction

Elche

Home Team
39%
VS

Sociedad

Away Team
33%
Draw: 27%
Over 2.5: 47%
Under 2.5: 53%
Goal: 53%
No Goal: 47%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Real Madrid 11 10 0 1 26 10 16 30
2 Barcelona 11 8 1 2 28 13 15 25
3 Villarreal 11 7 2 2 22 10 12 23
4 Ath Madrid 11 6 4 1 21 10 11 22
5 Betis 11 5 4 2 18 12 6 19
6 Espanol 11 5 3 3 15 13 2 18
7 Getafe 11 5 2 4 12 13 -1 17
8 Alaves 11 4 3 4 11 10 1 15
9 Elche 11 3 5 3 12 13 -1 14
10 Vallecano 11 4 2 5 12 14 -2 14
11 Betis 11 4 2 5 11 13 -2 14
12 Celta 11 2 7 2 13 14 -1 13
13 Sevilla 11 4 1 6 17 19 -2 13
14 Sociedad 11 3 3 5 13 16 -3 12
15 Osasuna 11 3 2 6 9 12 -3 11
16 Levante 11 2 3 6 15 20 -5 9
17 Mallorca 11 2 3 6 11 18 -7 9
18 Valencia 11 2 3 6 10 20 -10 9
19 Oviedo 11 2 2 7 7 19 -12 8
20 Girona 11 1 4 6 10 24 -14 7

Recent Trends

Elche ❌ ❌ ⚪ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Barcelona (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Espanol (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Alaves (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Celta (Goals: 2 - 1)

Sociedad ✅ ✅ ⚪ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 3 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Sevilla (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Celta (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Vallecano (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Barcelona (Goals: 1 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Elche

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.77
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.95
# Clean Sheets: 1

Sociedad

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.14
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.66
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the upcoming La Liga clash between Elche and Real Sociedad, Elche is predicted to emerge victorious, boasting a 39% chance of winning compared to Sociedad's 33%. The probability of a draw stands at 27%. With both teams situated in the lower half of the table, Elche currently resides in 9th place, while Sociedad is not far behind in 14th. The game is anticipated to feature fewer than 2.5 goals, with a probability of 47% for under 2.5 goals and a 53% chance that both teams will find the back of the net.

Match Analysis

Elche's recent form has been inconsistent, with a mix of losses and draws. Their last three games saw them lose twice, against formidable opponents like Barcelona and Espanol, and secure a goalless draw against Ath Bilbao at home. Despite these results, Elche has shown a decent defensive record, conceding an average of just 0.4 goals per game in their last five outings, bolstered by one clean sheet. Conversely, Sociedad has demonstrated a slight resurgence with two wins and a draw in their last three matches. Victories against Ath Bilbao and Sevilla highlight their potential, although they have conceded an average of 1.6 goals per game recently. Their attacking prowess has been modest, with an average of just 0.8 goals scored per game over their last five matches. The lack of clean sheets could be a concern against Elche's capable attack.

Final Prediction

Elche has a slight edge in this matchup, mainly due to their superior defensive performance and home advantage. Their ability to restrict opponents' scoring opportunities could prove decisive against a Sociedad side that has struggled defensively. A key factor to watch will be Elche's ability to capitalize on Sociedad's defensive vulnerabilities while maintaining their defensive solidity at the back.