La Liga 2025-2026: Getafe vs Real Madrid Prediction

Getafe

Home Team
3%
VS

Real Madrid

Away Team
93%
Draw: 4%
Over 2.5: 45%
Under 2.5: 55%
Goal: 51%
No Goal: 49%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Real Madrid 8 7 0 1 19 9 10 21
2 Barcelona 8 6 1 1 22 9 13 19
3 Villarreal 8 5 1 2 14 8 6 16
4 Betis 8 4 3 1 13 8 5 15
5 Ath Madrid 8 3 4 1 15 10 5 13
6 Sevilla 8 4 1 3 15 11 4 13
7 Elche 8 3 4 1 11 9 2 13
8 Betis 8 4 1 3 9 9 0 13
9 Espanol 8 3 3 2 11 11 0 12
10 Alaves 8 3 2 3 9 8 1 11
11 Getafe 8 3 2 3 9 11 -2 11
12 Osasuna 8 3 1 4 7 8 -1 10
13 Levante 8 2 2 4 13 14 -1 8
14 Vallecano 8 2 2 4 8 10 -2 8
15 Valencia 8 2 2 4 10 14 -4 8
16 Celta 8 0 6 2 7 10 -3 6
17 Oviedo 8 2 0 6 4 14 -10 6
18 Girona 8 1 3 4 5 17 -12 6
19 Sociedad 8 1 2 5 7 12 -5 5
20 Mallorca 8 1 2 5 7 13 -6 5

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Getafe

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.79
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.95
# Clean Sheets: 1

Real Madrid

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.36
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.00
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming La Liga clash between Getafe and Real Madrid is heavily tilted in favor of Real Madrid, with a 93.0% probability of an away team victory. Meanwhile, Getafe holds a mere 3.0% chance of claiming a win on home turf. The game is expected to feature under 2.5 goals, with a 45.0% probability of exceeding this threshold. Real Madrid currently tops the league standings, while Getafe sits at the 11th position.

Match Analysis

Getafe's recent performances have been somewhat lackluster, with no wins in their last three outings—recording two draws and a loss. Their encounters with Osasuna, Levante, and Alaves have resulted in close scorelines, with Getafe scoring an average of 1.33 goals per game, but conceding slightly less at 0.67. Their defense has managed one clean sheet in the last five matches, indicating some resilience at the back. However, their expected goals (xG) figures suggest a struggle to convert chances, with an average of only 0.79 expected goals per game. In contrast, Real Madrid has shown formidable form, winning two of their last three matches, including a commanding 4-1 victory against Levante. Despite a surprising 5-2 loss to Atletico Madrid, they have maintained a strong scoring average of 2.75 goals per game. Their expected goals metrics are equally impressive, with an average of 2.36, indicating their potency in front of goal. However, they have been somewhat vulnerable in defense, conceding an average of 1.75 goals per game, which Getafe might hope to exploit.

Final Prediction

Real Madrid's superior attacking prowess, reflected in both their actual goals and expected goals, gives them a significant edge over Getafe. While Getafe's defense has shown some steadiness, it is unlikely to withstand the relentless pressure from Real Madrid's forward line. A key factor to watch in this match will be how well Getafe's defense can hold against Real Madrid's attacking onslaught, potentially dictating the flow and outcome of the game.