La Liga 2024-2025: Girona vs Mallorca Prediction

Girona

Home Team
66%
VS

Mallorca

Away Team
16%
Draw: 18%
Over 2.5: 38%
Under 2.5: 62%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 33 24 4 5 89 32 57 76
2 Real Madrid 33 22 6 5 66 31 35 72
3 Ath Madrid 33 19 9 5 56 27 29 66
4 Ath Bilbao 33 16 12 5 50 26 24 60
5 Villarreal 33 15 10 8 56 45 11 55
6 Betis 33 15 9 9 50 41 9 54
7 Celta 33 13 7 13 50 49 1 46
8 Osasuna 33 10 14 9 40 46 -6 44
9 Mallorca 33 12 8 13 31 38 -7 44
10 Sociedad 33 12 6 15 32 37 -5 42
11 Vallecano 33 10 11 12 35 42 -7 41
12 Getafe 33 10 9 14 31 30 1 39
13 Espanol 33 10 9 14 35 42 -7 39
14 Valencia 33 9 12 12 37 49 -12 39
15 Sevilla 33 9 10 14 35 44 -9 37
16 Girona 33 9 8 16 40 52 -12 35
17 Alaves 33 8 10 15 35 46 -11 34
18 Las Palmas 33 8 8 17 38 53 -15 32
19 Leganes 33 6 12 15 30 49 -19 30
20 Valladolid 33 4 4 25 24 81 -57 16

Recent Trends

Girona ⚪ ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Leganes (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Betis (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Osasuna (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Alaves (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Barcelona (Goals: 1 - 4)

Mallorca ❌ ⚪ ✅ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Barcelona (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Leganes (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Sociedad (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Celta (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Valencia (Goals: 0 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Girona

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.24
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.38
# Clean Sheets: 0

Mallorca

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.89
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.46
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming encounter between Girona and Mallorca is poised to tilt in favor of the hosts, Girona, who have a 66.0% probability of clinching victory. Meanwhile, Mallorca, positioned higher in the league at 9th compared to Girona's 16th, have only a 16.0% chance. The match is expected to feature under 2.5 goals, with a 38.0% likelihood of exceeding this mark.

Match Analysis

Both teams enter this match with contrasting recent performances. Girona has struggled in their last three outings, securing only a draw against Leganes while suffering defeats to Betis and Osasuna. Their defensive vulnerabilities have been evident, conceding an average of 1.8 goals over their last five games. Despite this, Girona's attack has shown potential, with an average of 1.24 expected goals, suggesting that they are creating scoring opportunities even if not capitalizing on them. In contrast, Mallorca has displayed a more resilient form, claiming victory against Sociedad and managing a goalless draw against Leganes. Although they lost narrowly to Barcelona, their defense has been relatively stable, conceding just 0.8 goals per game in their last five outings. Mallorca's ability to maintain clean sheets in two of their last five matches could be crucial in a low-scoring affair.

Final Prediction

Girona's higher probability of winning stems from their potential to convert scoring opportunities and the home advantage, which might play a decisive role. One key factor to watch is whether Girona can tighten their defense to withstand Mallorca's occasional bursts of attacking play. This clash will be a test of Girona's ability to turn chances into goals while containing Mallorca's organized defense.