La Liga 2025-2026: Girona vs Osasuna Prediction
Girona
Home Team
44%
VS
Osasuna
Away Team
30%
Draw: 26%
Over 2.5:
43%
Under 2.5:
57%
Goal:
51%
No Goal:
49%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 19 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 53 | 20 | 33 | 49 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 45 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 38 |
| 4 | Ath Madrid | 19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 38 |
| 5 | Espanol | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 33 |
| 6 | Betis | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 28 |
| 7 | Celta | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 26 |
| 8 | Betis | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 24 |
| 9 | Elche | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 22 |
| 10 | Getafe | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 21 |
| 11 | Sevilla | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 20 |
| 12 | Osasuna | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 19 |
| 13 | Alaves | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 19 |
| 14 | Vallecano | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 19 |
| 15 | Sociedad | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
| 16 | Mallorca | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 18 |
| 17 | Girona | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 34 | -17 | 18 |
| 18 | Valencia | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 16 |
| 19 | Levante | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 13 |
| 20 | Oviedo | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 27 | -19 | 12 |
Recent Trends
Girona
- Last Match: vs Mallorca (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 0 - 3)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Sociedad (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Elche (Goals: 0 - 3)
- 5th Last Match: vs Real Madrid (Goals: 1 - 1)
Osasuna
- Last Match: vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Alaves (Goals: 3 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Barcelona (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Levante (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Mallorca (Goals: 2 - 2)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Girona
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.37
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.99
# Clean Sheets:
0
Osasuna
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.78
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.49
# Clean Sheets:
2
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Girona and Osasuna leans in favor of the home team, with Girona having a 44.0% probability of securing a victory. In contrast, Osasuna's chance of winning stands at 30.0%, while the likelihood of a draw is 26.0%. With both teams positioned lower in the league standings—Girona sitting at 17th and Osasuna at 12th—this encounter could prove pivotal for their respective campaigns. The predicted outcome for goals suggests a low-scoring affair, with a 43.0% probability for under 2.5 goals.
Match Analysis
Girona's recent performances have shown signs of improvement, with two wins in their last three matches, including noteworthy away victories against Mallorca and Sociedad. However, their home form remains a concern, highlighted by a heavy defeat to Ath Madrid. Girona's defense has been leaky, conceding an average of 1.6 goals in their last five games, a worrying stat considering they have yet to secure a clean sheet in that period.
Osasuna, on the other hand, have had mixed results, with a win, a draw, and a loss in their last three fixtures. Their triumph over Alaves was particularly impressive, keeping a clean sheet and scoring three goals. However, their lack of goals in other matches, averaging just 0.4 goals over the last five games, might hinder their chances against Girona. Defensively, Osasuna has been relatively solid, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per game and managing two clean sheets in their last five outings.
Final Prediction
Girona's slight edge in this matchup stems from their recent away victories, which have boosted their confidence. However, their defensive vulnerabilities remain a concern. The key factor to watch in this game will be Girona's ability to capitalize on Osasuna's inconsistent attack. A disciplined defensive performance could be crucial for Girona to secure a much-needed home win.