La Liga 2025-2026: Girona vs Oviedo Prediction
Girona
Home Team
61%
VS
Oviedo
Away Team
19%
Draw: 20%
Over 2.5:
56%
Under 2.5:
44%
Goal:
52%
No Goal:
48%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Madrid | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 24 |
| 2 | Barcelona | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 22 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 17 |
| 4 | Ath Madrid | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 16 |
| 5 | Betis | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 16 |
| 6 | Espanol | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
| 7 | Elche | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 14 |
| 8 | Betis | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 14 |
| 9 | Sevilla | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 13 |
| 10 | Alaves | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 12 |
| 11 | Vallecano | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 11 |
| 12 | Getafe | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 11 |
| 13 | Osasuna | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 | Valencia | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 9 |
| 15 | Levante | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 8 |
| 16 | Mallorca | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 |
| 17 | Celta | 9 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 7 |
| 18 | Sociedad | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 6 |
| 19 | Oviedo | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 16 | -12 | 6 |
| 20 | Girona | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 6 |
Recent Trends
Girona
- Last Match: vs Barcelona (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Valencia (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Espanol (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Levante (Goals: 0 - 4)
Oviedo
- Last Match: vs Espanol (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Levante (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Valencia (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Barcelona (Goals: 1 - 3)
- 5th Last Match: vs Elche (Goals: 0 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Girona
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.09
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.51
# Clean Sheets:
1
Oviedo
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.84
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.71
# Clean Sheets:
0
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Girona and Oviedo is predicted to favor the home side, Girona, with a 61.0% probability of victory. The odds of an away win for Oviedo stand at 19.0%, while a draw is pegged at 20.0%. With both teams languishing at the bottom of the La Liga standings, tied on 6 points each, this match could be pivotal. Additionally, there is a 56.0% probability that the match will see over 2.5 goals, with Girona expected to capitalize on their home advantage.
Match Analysis
Girona's recent form has been a mixed bag, with a loss against Barcelona, a win over Valencia, and a goalless draw with Espanol. Despite their struggles, they did manage to secure a precious win at home, which might boost their confidence. Girona has managed to average 0.6 goals per game in their last five matches but has been leaking goals at an average of 2.0 per game. Their expected goals (xG) metric of 1.094 suggests they might be underperforming in front of goal.
Oviedo, on the other hand, is on a downward trajectory, having lost to both Espanol and Levante at home before a rare away win against Valencia. Their offensive struggles are evident, averaging just 0.5 goals per game over the last five outings. Despite their defensive frailties, Oviedo's expected goals against (xGA) of 1.7125 indicates they may have been slightly unlucky in conceding goals. The absence of clean sheets in their recent matches further highlights their defensive vulnerability.
Final Prediction
Girona's slight edge over Oviedo stems from their better recent form and their home advantage. Their ability to secure a clean sheet against a mid-table team like Espanol suggests they can tighten up when needed. A key factor to watch will be Girona's ability to convert chances into goals, as Oviedo's defense has proven to be permeable. Fans should look out for Girona's attacking intent, which could determine the outcome of this crucial match.