La Liga 2025-2026: Girona vs Real Madrid Prediction

Girona

Home Team
1%
VS

Real Madrid

Away Team
97%
Draw: 2%
Over 2.5: 57%
Under 2.5: 43%
Goal: 59%
No Goal: 41%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Real Madrid 13 10 2 1 28 12 16 32
2 Barcelona 13 10 1 2 36 15 21 31
3 Villarreal 13 9 2 2 26 11 15 29
4 Ath Madrid 13 8 4 1 25 11 14 28
5 Betis 13 5 6 2 20 14 6 21
6 Espanol 13 6 3 4 17 16 1 21
7 Getafe 13 5 2 6 12 15 -3 17
8 Betis 13 5 2 6 12 17 -5 17
9 Sociedad 13 4 4 5 17 18 -1 16
10 Elche 13 3 7 3 15 16 -1 16
11 Sevilla 13 5 1 7 19 21 -2 16
12 Celta 13 3 7 3 16 18 -2 16
13 Vallecano 13 4 4 5 12 14 -2 16
14 Alaves 13 4 3 6 11 12 -1 15
15 Valencia 13 3 4 6 12 21 -9 13
16 Mallorca 13 3 3 7 13 20 -7 12
17 Osasuna 13 3 2 8 10 16 -6 11
18 Girona 13 2 5 6 12 25 -13 11
19 Levante 13 2 3 8 16 24 -8 9
20 Oviedo 13 2 3 8 7 20 -13 9

Recent Trends

Girona ⚪ ✅ ❌ ⚪ ❌

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Betis (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Alaves (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Getafe (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Oviedo (Goals: 3 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Barcelona (Goals: 1 - 2)

Real Madrid ⚪ ⚪ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Elche (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Vallecano (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Valencia (Goals: 4 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Barcelona (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Getafe (Goals: 1 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Girona

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.23
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.38
# Clean Sheets: 1

Real Madrid

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.39
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.65
# Clean Sheets: 3

Key Prediction Insights

Real Madrid is the clear favorite to win the upcoming match against Girona, with a staggering 97% probability of securing victory. Meanwhile, Girona's chances of winning stand at a mere 1%, highlighting the uphill battle they face. With a 57% probability of the match featuring over 2.5 goals, fans can expect an engaging encounter. Real Madrid currently leads La Liga in the first position, while Girona struggles at 18th, fighting to escape relegation.

Match Analysis

Real Madrid has shown mixed form in their recent games, securing a dominating 4-0 victory against Valencia while drawing against Elche and Vallecano. Despite these draws, their capacity to score remains robust, demonstrated by an average of 1.8 goals per game in the last five matches. Their defensive solidity is underscored by three clean sheets in the same period. Girona, on the other hand, has had a challenging run, managing a solitary win against Alaves and registering a draw and a loss in their last three fixtures. With their defense conceding an average of 1.6 goals per game, Girona's backline will need to fortify against Madrid's attacking prowess. Advanced metrics reveal that Real Madrid has consistently outperformed in expected goals, averaging 2.392, suggesting they create high-quality chances. Their defensive metrics also indicate resilience with an average of 1.646 expected goals conceded. Girona's expected goals figures, both scored and conceded, suggest they have been defensively vulnerable, allowing more opportunities than they create. This imbalance could be a decisive factor against a team of Real Madrid's caliber.

Final Prediction

Real Madrid's dominance in the league standings and their superior recent form provide them with a compelling edge over Girona. Their ability to create and convert scoring opportunities will likely pose a significant challenge for Girona's defense. A key factor to watch will be Real Madrid's offensive setup and whether Girona can withstand the pressure to salvage a point or secure a surprise result.