La Liga 2024-2025: Las Palmas vs Alaves Prediction

Las Palmas

Home Team
30%
VS

Alaves

Away Team
46%
Draw: 24%
Over 2.5: 55%
Under 2.5: 45%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 26 18 3 5 71 25 46 57
2 Real Madrid 27 17 6 4 57 26 31 57
3 Ath Madrid 27 16 8 3 44 18 26 56
4 Ath Bilbao 27 13 10 4 45 24 21 49
5 Villarreal 26 12 8 6 48 36 12 44
6 Betis 27 11 8 8 35 33 2 41
7 Mallorca 27 10 7 10 26 33 -7 37
8 Vallecano 27 9 9 9 29 29 0 36
9 Celta 27 10 6 11 40 41 -1 36
10 Sevilla 27 9 9 9 32 36 -4 36
11 Sociedad 27 10 4 13 23 28 -5 34
12 Getafe 27 8 9 10 23 22 1 33
13 Girona 27 9 6 12 35 40 -5 33
14 Osasuna 26 7 12 7 32 37 -5 33
15 Espanol 26 7 7 12 25 37 -12 28
16 Valencia 27 6 9 12 30 45 -15 27
17 Leganes 27 6 9 12 24 40 -16 27
18 Alaves 27 6 8 13 30 40 -10 26
19 Las Palmas 27 6 6 15 30 45 -15 24
20 Valladolid 27 4 4 19 18 62 -44 16

Recent Trends

Las Palmas ❌ ⚪ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Betis (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Valladolid (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Barcelona (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Mallorca (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Villarreal (Goals: 1 - 2)

Alaves ✅ ⚪ ❌ ⚪ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Villarreal (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Mallorca (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Espanol (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Leganes (Goals: 3 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Getafe (Goals: 0 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Las Palmas

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.15
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.55
# Clean Sheets: 0

Alaves

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.28
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.33
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Las Palmas and Alaves is predicted to favor the away team, Alaves, with a 46.0% probability of victory. The expectation for the match leans towards an outcome with more than 2.5 goals, having a probability of 55.0%. Currently, both teams are battling near the bottom of the La Liga standings, with Las Palmas in 19th place and Alaves slightly better off in 18th.

Match Analysis

Recent performances reveal contrasting trends between the two teams. Las Palmas has struggled, failing to secure a win in their last three matches, drawing once against Valladolid and suffering defeats against Betis and Barcelona. With only 0.8 goals scored on average in their last five games and no clean sheets, the team needs to bolster both its attack and defense. Their expected goals and expected goals conceded also suggest a challenging path ahead. Alaves, on the other hand, has shown a mix of resilience and vulnerability. They clinched a vital victory against Villarreal but were unable to capitalize on momentum, drawing with Mallorca and losing to Espanol. Averaging 1.8 goals scored in their last five matches indicates a more potent offense compared to Las Palmas. Despite conceding 1.6 goals on average, Alaves has shown a slightly better defensive organization, evidenced by one clean sheet in their recent games.

Final Prediction

Alaves appears to have the upper hand in this matchup, owing to their stronger recent performances and a more effective attack. The key factor to watch will be their ability to maintain defensive solidity against a struggling Las Palmas side. With both teams in desperate need of points to climb out of the relegation zone, fans can expect a competitive and potentially high-scoring encounter.