La Liga 2024-2025: Leganes vs Girona Prediction

Leganes

Home Team
30%
VS

Girona

Away Team
49%
Draw: 21%
Over 2.5: 45%
Under 2.5: 55%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 32 23 4 5 88 32 56 73
2 Real Madrid 32 21 6 5 65 31 34 69
3 Ath Madrid 32 18 9 5 53 27 26 63
4 Betis 32 15 12 5 49 26 23 57
5 Villarreal 31 14 10 7 55 42 13 52
6 Betis 32 14 9 9 45 40 5 51
7 Mallorca 32 12 8 12 31 37 -6 44
8 Celta 32 12 7 13 47 49 -2 43
9 Sociedad 32 12 6 14 32 36 -4 42
10 Vallecano 32 10 11 11 35 39 -4 41
11 Osasuna 32 9 14 9 39 46 -7 41
12 Getafe 32 10 9 13 31 29 2 39
13 Espanol 31 10 8 13 34 40 -6 38
14 Valencia 32 9 11 12 36 48 -12 38
15 Sevilla 32 9 10 13 35 43 -8 37
16 Girona 32 9 7 16 39 51 -12 34
17 Las Palmas 32 8 8 16 38 52 -14 32
18 Alaves 32 7 10 15 34 46 -12 31
19 Leganes 32 6 11 15 29 48 -19 29
20 Valladolid 32 4 4 24 23 76 -53 16

Recent Trends

Leganes ⚪ ❌ ⚪ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Mallorca (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Barcelona (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Osasuna (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Real Madrid (Goals: 2 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Betis (Goals: 2 - 3)

Girona ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌ ⚪

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Betis (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Osasuna (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Alaves (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Barcelona (Goals: 1 - 4)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Valencia (Goals: 1 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Leganes

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.34
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.62
# Clean Sheets: 1

Girona

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.61
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.19
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Leganes and Girona is poised to tilt in favor of the away side, Girona, with a 49.0% probability of victory. Leganes, currently languishing near the bottom of the La Liga standings in 19th place, has only a 30.0% chance of clinching a win. Meanwhile, Girona sits slightly higher at 16th position, and the likelihood of the match ending in a draw is 21.0%. The encounter is expected to be low-scoring, with a 45.0% chance of exceeding 2.5 goals, suggesting the game will remain under 2.5 goals.

Match Analysis

In recent outings, Leganes has shown resilience but struggled to convert performances into wins. They come off the back of two draws against Mallorca and Osasuna, and a narrow 0-1 defeat to Barcelona. Their defensive efforts have been commendable, allowing an average of 1.6 goals against per game in their last five matches. Offensively, they have managed to create chances with an average of 1.34 expected goals but have been unable to capitalize, scoring an average of 1.4 goals. Girona, on the other hand, is enduring a slump, having lost their last three matches. They were defeated 1-3 by Betis and 1-2 by Osasuna, before falling 0-1 to Alaves. Their defense has been porous, conceding an average of 2.4 goals per game, while their attack has been relatively blunt, averaging just 0.6 goals scored. With no clean sheets in recent games, Girona's defensive vulnerabilities could be a decisive factor.

Final Prediction

Girona's edge in this matchup stems from their superior position in the standings and Leganes' struggle to secure wins. However, Leganes' slightly better defensive record may keep the scoreline respectable. A critical factor in this game will be whether Girona can tighten their defense and capitalize on Leganes' inability to finish chances. Fans should watch for any tactical changes Girona might employ to break their losing streak.