La Liga 2024-2025: Mallorca vs Espanol Prediction

Mallorca

Home Team
87%
VS

Espanol

Away Team
5%
Draw: 7%
Over 2.5: 46%
Under 2.5: 54%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 26 18 3 5 71 25 46 57
2 Real Madrid 27 17 6 4 57 26 31 57
3 Ath Madrid 27 16 8 3 44 18 26 56
4 Ath Bilbao 27 13 10 4 45 24 21 49
5 Villarreal 26 12 8 6 48 36 12 44
6 Betis 27 11 8 8 35 33 2 41
7 Mallorca 27 10 7 10 26 33 -7 37
8 Vallecano 27 9 9 9 29 29 0 36
9 Celta 27 10 6 11 40 41 -1 36
10 Sevilla 27 9 9 9 32 36 -4 36
11 Sociedad 27 10 4 13 23 28 -5 34
12 Getafe 27 8 9 10 23 22 1 33
13 Girona 27 9 6 12 35 40 -5 33
14 Osasuna 26 7 12 7 32 37 -5 33
15 Espanol 26 7 7 12 25 37 -12 28
16 Valencia 27 6 9 12 30 45 -15 27
17 Leganes 27 6 9 12 24 40 -16 27
18 Alaves 27 6 8 13 30 40 -10 26
19 Las Palmas 27 6 6 15 30 45 -15 24
20 Valladolid 27 4 4 19 18 62 -44 16

Recent Trends

Mallorca ⚪ ⚪ ⚪ ✅ ⚪

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Alaves (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Sevilla (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Las Palmas (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Osasuna (Goals: 1 - 1)

Espanol ⚪ ✅ ⚪ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Girona (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Alaves (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Sociedad (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Real Madrid (Goals: 1 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Mallorca

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.55
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.21
# Clean Sheets: 0

Espanol

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.94
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.17
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Mallorca and Espanyol is shaping up to be a decisive encounter in La Liga. With a significant 87% probability of a home win, Mallorca is expected to clinch victory over Espanyol, who have a mere 5% chance of an upset. The probability of the match ending in a draw stands at 7%. Furthermore, it is anticipated that the game will have fewer than 2.5 goals. Currently, Mallorca sits in 7th place in the league standings, while Espanyol finds themselves in 15th position.

Match Analysis

Mallorca enters this fixture on the back of three consecutive draws, indicating a consistent yet tentative form. Their recent performances against Athletic Bilbao, Alaves, and Sevilla, all ending 1-1, showcase their ability to stay competitive but also highlight their struggle to secure wins. A closer look at their advanced metrics reveals an average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 goals conceded per game in the last five outings. Despite creating decent chances with an expected goals average of 1.554, their lack of clean sheets could be a concern. On the other side, Espanyol has shown some resilience, particularly in their away victory against Alaves and draws against Girona and Athletic Bilbao. Their recent form shows a slight improvement, especially with two clean sheets in their last five games. However, their offensive output remains low with an average of 0.6 goals scored per match, coupled with an average of 1.0 goals conceded. Their expected goals metric of 0.94 per match suggests room for improvement in their attacking play.

Final Prediction

Mallorca's higher probability of winning stems from their consistent form and their position higher up in the league standings. While both teams have shown defensive vulnerabilities, Mallorca's ability to create more scoring opportunities gives them the upper hand. A key factor to watch will be Mallorca's ability to convert their chances into goals, which could be decisive in breaking the deadlock against a defensively organized Espanyol.