La Liga 2025-2026: Real Madrid vs Sevilla Prediction
Real Madrid
Home Team
95%
VS
Sevilla
Away Team
2%
Draw: 3%
Over 2.5:
57%
Under 2.5:
43%
Goal:
54%
No Goal:
46%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 17 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 49 | 20 | 29 | 43 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 39 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 35 |
| 4 | Ath Madrid | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 34 |
| 5 | Espanol | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 30 |
| 6 | Betis | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 25 |
| 7 | Betis | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 23 |
| 8 | Celta | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
| 9 | Sevilla | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 20 |
| 10 | Getafe | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 20 |
| 11 | Elche | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 19 |
| 12 | Alaves | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 18 |
| 13 | Vallecano | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 18 |
| 14 | Mallorca | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 17 |
| 15 | Sociedad | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 16 |
| 16 | Osasuna | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 15 |
| 17 | Valencia | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 15 |
| 18 | Girona | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 15 |
| 19 | Oviedo | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 26 | -19 | 10 |
| 20 | Levante | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 9 |
Recent Trends
Real Madrid
- Last Match: vs Alaves (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Celta (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 3 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Girona (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Elche (Goals: 2 - 2)
Sevilla
- Last Match: vs Oviedo (Goals: 4 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Valencia (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Betis (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Espanol (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Osasuna (Goals: 1 - 0)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Real Madrid
Average Expected Goals (xG):
3.02
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
0.99
# Clean Sheets:
1
Sevilla
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.73
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.79
# Clean Sheets:
2
Key Prediction Insights
Real Madrid is heavily favored to secure a home victory against Sevilla, with a staggering 95% probability of winning. The likelihood of the game featuring over 2.5 goals is also significant at 57%. Real Madrid is currently sitting in the second position in La Liga, while Sevilla is in ninth place.
Match Analysis
Real Madrid enters this clash on the back of a robust performance in their recent fixtures, recording two wins out of their last three matches, including a convincing 3-0 away victory against Athletic Bilbao. However, they did suffer a surprise home defeat to Celta, which suggests a potential vulnerability. Nevertheless, their average of 2.2 goals scored and only 0.8 conceded per game over the last five outings underscores their attacking prowess and defensive solidity. The advanced metrics further highlight their offensive efficiency, with an impressive average of 3.022 expected goals per game.
In contrast, Sevilla has had an inconsistent run, with one win, one draw, and one loss in their last trio of matches. They managed to secure a commanding 4-0 win against Oviedo but struggled against Betis with a home loss. Sevilla's recent form reflects their struggle to find the back of the net consistently, averaging just 0.8 goals per game while conceding 1.6. Their expected goals metrics show a similar trend, indicating potential challenges in breaking down Real Madrid's defense.
Final Prediction
Real Madrid appears to have a significant edge in this encounter, driven by their superior form, offensive capabilities, and defensive resilience. Fans should keep an eye on Real Madrid's attacking unit, which has been in formidable form and could be the key factor in deciding the outcome of this match.