La Liga 2025-2026: Sevilla vs Mallorca Prediction
Sevilla
Home Team
74%
VS
Mallorca
Away Team
12%
Draw: 14%
Over 2.5:
48%
Under 2.5:
52%
Goal:
54%
No Goal:
46%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Madrid | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 21 |
| 2 | Barcelona | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 19 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 16 |
| 4 | Betis | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 15 |
| 5 | Ath Madrid | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 13 |
| 6 | Sevilla | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Elche | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Betis | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 13 |
| 9 | Espanol | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Alaves | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 11 |
| 11 | Getafe | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 11 |
| 12 | Osasuna | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 | Levante | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 8 |
| 14 | Vallecano | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 8 |
| 15 | Valencia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 |
| 16 | Celta | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Oviedo | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 6 |
| 18 | Girona | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 17 | -12 | 6 |
| 19 | Sociedad | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 5 |
| 20 | Mallorca | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 5 |
Recent Trends
Sevilla
- Last Match: vs Barcelona (Goals: 4 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Vallecano (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Villarreal (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Alaves (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Elche (Goals: 2 - 2)
Mallorca
- Last Match: vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Alaves (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Sociedad (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Espanol (Goals: 2 - 3)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Sevilla
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.23
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.75
# Clean Sheets:
1
Mallorca
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.86
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.27
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Sevilla and Mallorca is heavily tilted in favor of Sevilla, with a 74.0% probability of the home team clinching victory. Mallorca, on the other hand, has a mere 12.0% chance of securing an upset. Both teams are predicted to score, yet the likelihood of the match having over 2.5 goals is only 48.0%, suggesting a low-scoring affair. Currently, Sevilla sits in 6th place in La Liga, while Mallorca languishes at the bottom in 20th.
Match Analysis
Sevilla has shown mixed form over their last three games, achieving two wins and one loss. Their notable victory against Barcelona, where they dominated with a 4-1 scoreline, stands out as a testament to their attacking prowess. However, their recent home defeat to Villarreal highlights potential vulnerabilities. Sevilla's advanced metrics indicate an average of 2.0 goals scored per game in their last five matches, with an expected goal rate of 1.2275, showing a slight overperformance in front of the goal.
Conversely, Mallorca's recent performances paint a more challenging picture. With two losses in their last three outings, including a narrow defeat to Sociedad, they are struggling for form. Their sole victory came against Alaves, but the team has consistently faced difficulties in both scoring and defense. Mallorca's average of 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 goals conceded per game over the last five matches underscores their struggles, with their expected goals further indicating they are underperforming in attack.
Final Prediction
Sevilla's recent attacking form and their superior league position give them a clear edge over Mallorca. Their ability to score goals against stronger opponents, as evidenced by their win against Barcelona, will be crucial. Fans should keep an eye on Sevilla's attacking players, who could be the difference-makers in this fixture.