La Liga 2025-2026: Sociedad vs Sevilla Prediction - 24 Oct 2025

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Sociedad

Home Team
73%
VS

Sevilla

Away Team
13%
Draw: 14%
Over 2.5: 51%
Under 2.5: 49%
Goal: 57%
No Goal: 43%

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Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Real Madrid 9 8 0 1 20 9 11 24
2 Barcelona 9 7 1 1 24 10 14 22
3 Villarreal 9 5 2 2 16 10 6 17
4 Ath Madrid 9 4 4 1 16 10 6 16
5 Betis 9 4 4 1 15 10 5 16
6 Espanol 9 4 3 2 13 11 2 15
7 Elche 9 3 5 1 11 9 2 14
8 Betis 9 4 2 3 9 9 0 14
9 Sevilla 9 4 1 4 16 14 2 13
10 Alaves 9 3 3 3 9 8 1 12
11 Vallecano 9 3 2 4 11 10 1 11
12 Getafe 9 3 2 4 9 12 -3 11
13 Osasuna 9 3 1 5 7 9 -2 10
14 Valencia 9 2 3 4 10 14 -4 9
15 Levante 9 2 2 5 13 17 -4 8
16 Mallorca 9 2 2 5 10 14 -4 8
17 Celta 9 0 7 2 8 11 -3 7
18 Sociedad 9 1 3 5 8 13 -5 6
19 Oviedo 9 2 0 7 4 16 -12 6
20 Girona 9 1 3 5 6 19 -13 6

Recent Trends

Sociedad D L L W L

  • Last Match: D vs Celta (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: L vs Vallecano (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: L vs Barcelona (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: W vs Mallorca (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: L vs Betis (Goals: 1 - 3)

Sevilla L W W L W

  • Last Match: L vs Mallorca (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: W vs Barcelona (Goals: 4 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: W vs Vallecano (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Villarreal (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Alaves (Goals: 2 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Sociedad

xG (avg) 2.04
xGA (avg) 1.43
Clean Sheets 1

Sevilla

xG (avg) 1.00
xGA (avg) 1.87
Clean Sheets 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Sociedad and Sevilla is heavily tilted in favor of the home team, with a 73.0% probability of Sociedad securing a victory. Sevilla's chances stand at just 13.0%, while a draw is slightly more likely at 14.0%. Currently, Sociedad finds themselves in 18th position, teetering on the edge of relegation, while Sevilla sits comfortably at 9th in the La Liga standings. The game is expected to be a high-scoring affair, with a 51.0% probability of over 2.5 goals being scored.

Match Analysis

Sociedad enters this fixture on the back of a mixed run of form. Their recent matches include a 1-1 away draw against Celta and narrow losses to Vallecano and Barcelona. Despite these setbacks, Sociedad has shown potential in their offensive play, averaging 2.045 expected goals over their last five games, suggesting they could pose a threat to Sevilla's defense. However, they have only managed to keep one clean sheet in the same period, indicating vulnerabilities that Sevilla might exploit. On the other side, Sevilla has been slightly more consistent, boasting two victories in their last three matches. They celebrated an impressive 4-1 home win against Barcelona and secured a 1-0 victory away at Vallecano, though they stumbled in a 3-1 home defeat to Mallorca. Sevilla's recent performances highlight their attacking prowess, with an average of 1.75 goals scored in the last five games. Despite a lower expected goals figure of 0.9975, they have been clinical in front of goal, which could be crucial against Sociedad's defense.

Final Prediction

Sociedad's predicted victory stems from their home advantage and the higher likelihood of them capitalizing on scoring opportunities, as suggested by their advanced metrics. However, Sevilla's recent attacking form cannot be ignored, making this encounter potentially thrilling. A key factor to watch will be how effectively Sociedad can convert their expected goals into actual goals against a Sevilla side eager to climb further up the league table.

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