La Liga 2025-2026: Sociedad vs Villarreal Prediction
Sociedad
Home Team
40%
VS
Villarreal
Away Team
33%
Draw: 26%
Over 2.5:
43%
Under 2.5:
57%
Goal:
55%
No Goal:
45%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Madrid | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 28 | 12 | 16 | 32 |
| 2 | Barcelona | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 15 | 21 | 31 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 11 | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Ath Madrid | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 28 |
| 5 | Betis | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 21 |
| 6 | Espanol | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 21 |
| 7 | Getafe | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 17 |
| 8 | Betis | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 17 |
| 9 | Sociedad | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 16 |
| 10 | Elche | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 16 |
| 11 | Sevilla | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 16 |
| 12 | Celta | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 16 |
| 13 | Vallecano | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 16 |
| 14 | Alaves | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 15 |
| 15 | Valencia | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 13 |
| 16 | Mallorca | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 12 |
| 17 | Osasuna | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 11 |
| 18 | Girona | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 11 |
| 19 | Levante | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 9 |
| 20 | Oviedo | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
Recent Trends
Sociedad
- Last Match: vs Osasuna (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Elche (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 3 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Sevilla (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Celta (Goals: 1 - 1)
Villarreal
- Last Match: vs Mallorca (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Espanol (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Vallecano (Goals: 4 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Valencia (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Betis (Goals: 2 - 2)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Sociedad
Average Expected Goals (xG):
2.05
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.05
# Clean Sheets:
0
Villarreal
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.63
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.56
# Clean Sheets:
3
Key Prediction Insights
In the upcoming La Liga clash, Real Sociedad is predicted to edge out Villarreal with a 40.0% probability of a home victory. The likelihood of an away win for Villarreal stands at 33.0%, while there's a 26.0% chance of a draw. Fans can expect a closely contested match likely to stay under 2.5 goals, with this outcome having a 43.0% probability. Sociedad currently sits 9th in the standings, while Villarreal holds a higher position at 3rd.
Match Analysis
Both teams have shown resilience in their recent fixtures. Sociedad has been on a positive streak with a win against Osasuna and a crucial home victory over Athletic Bilbao, alongside a draw with Elche. These results underline their competitive spirit, with an average of 1.4 goals scored per game in their last five outings. Despite their efforts, defensive vulnerabilities are evident as they have conceded an average of 1.2 goals with no clean sheets recently.
On the other hand, Villarreal has demonstrated robust form, claiming victories in their last three matches, including a dominant 4-0 win against Rayo Vallecano. Their defense has been relatively solid, maintaining three clean sheets in the last five matches while scoring an average of 1.4 goals. Villarreal's expected goals and defensive metrics suggest they are slightly more efficient on both ends of the pitch, which could be crucial in this encounter.
Final Prediction
Real Sociedad’s edge stems from their recent high-scoring performances and the home advantage, despite Villarreal's strong form. The key factor to watch will be Sociedad's ability to capitalize on their scoring opportunities while containing Villarreal's attacking threats, which could be decisive in securing a home victory.