La Liga 2025-2026: Valencia vs Levante Prediction

Valencia

Home Team
73%
VS

Levante

Away Team
12%
Draw: 14%
Over 2.5: 43%
Under 2.5: 57%
Goal: 52%
No Goal: 48%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Real Madrid 12 10 1 1 26 10 16 31
2 Barcelona 12 9 1 2 32 15 17 28
3 Villarreal 12 8 2 2 24 10 14 26
4 Ath Madrid 12 7 4 1 24 11 13 25
5 Betis 12 5 5 2 19 13 6 20
6 Espanol 12 5 3 4 15 15 0 18
7 Betis 12 5 2 5 12 13 -1 17
8 Getafe 12 5 2 5 12 14 -2 17
9 Sevilla 12 5 1 6 18 19 -1 16
10 Alaves 12 4 3 5 11 11 0 15
11 Elche 12 3 6 3 13 14 -1 15
12 Vallecano 12 4 3 5 12 14 -2 15
13 Celta 12 2 7 3 15 18 -3 13
14 Sociedad 12 3 4 5 14 17 -3 13
15 Mallorca 12 3 3 6 12 18 -6 12
16 Osasuna 12 3 2 7 9 13 -4 11
17 Valencia 12 2 4 6 11 21 -10 10
18 Girona 12 2 4 6 11 24 -13 10
19 Levante 12 2 3 7 16 23 -7 9
20 Oviedo 12 2 2 8 7 20 -13 8

Recent Trends

Valencia ⚪ ❌ ❌ ⚪ ❌

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Betis (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Real Madrid (Goals: 0 - 4)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Villarreal (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Alaves (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Girona (Goals: 1 - 2)

Levante ❌ ❌ ⚪ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Celta (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Mallorca (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Vallecano (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Oviedo (Goals: 2 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Valencia

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.57
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.29
# Clean Sheets: 1

Levante

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.21
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.45
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

Valencia is predicted to secure a victory against Levante, with a strong 73.0% probability of a home win. The match is expected to be a low-scoring affair, with a 43.0% chance of over 2.5 goals, suggesting a more likely outcome of under 2.5 goals. In the current La Liga standings, Valencia sits precariously at 17th place, just one spot above the relegation zone, while Levante is even lower, positioned at 19th.

Match Analysis

Over their last three games, Valencia has struggled to find form, managing only a draw against Betis and suffering losses to both Real Madrid and Villarreal. They have scored merely once in these outings while conceding seven goals. Despite these setbacks, Valencia's advanced metrics show potential, with an average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.5719 expected goals in their last five matches, suggesting they may improve if they can convert chances more efficiently. Levante, on the other hand, comes into this match with a similarly challenging recent record, losing two of their last three games and drawing once against Mallorca. Their performances have seen them score three times while conceding six goals. Interestingly, Levante's advanced metrics reveal a marginally higher goal-scoring potential than Valencia, with an average of 1.8 goals scored and 2.21 expected goals over their last five games. However, their defensive frailties, evidenced by conceding an average of 1.45 expected goals, could be their undoing.

Final Prediction

Valencia's edge in this matchup stems from their home advantage and the slight improvement in their defensive metrics. Despite both teams' struggles, Valencia's potential to capitalize on their expected goals could tilt the match in their favor. A key factor to watch will be Valencia's ability to convert their chances, as this could determine if they can move further away from the relegation threat in this crucial fixture.