La Liga 2024-2025: Valladolid vs Barcelona Prediction

Valladolid

Home Team
0%
VS

Barcelona

Away Team
99%
Draw: 0%
Over 2.5: 58%
Under 2.5: 42%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 33 24 4 5 89 32 57 76
2 Real Madrid 33 22 6 5 66 31 35 72
3 Ath Madrid 33 19 9 5 56 27 29 66
4 Ath Bilbao 33 16 12 5 50 26 24 60
5 Villarreal 33 15 10 8 56 45 11 55
6 Betis 33 15 9 9 50 41 9 54
7 Celta 33 13 7 13 50 49 1 46
8 Osasuna 33 10 14 9 40 46 -6 44
9 Mallorca 33 12 8 13 31 38 -7 44
10 Sociedad 33 12 6 15 32 37 -5 42
11 Vallecano 33 10 11 12 35 42 -7 41
12 Getafe 33 10 9 14 31 30 1 39
13 Espanol 33 10 9 14 35 42 -7 39
14 Valencia 33 9 12 12 37 49 -12 39
15 Sevilla 33 9 10 14 35 44 -9 37
16 Girona 33 9 8 16 40 52 -12 35
17 Alaves 33 8 10 15 35 46 -11 34
18 Las Palmas 33 8 8 17 38 53 -15 32
19 Leganes 33 6 12 15 30 49 -19 30
20 Valladolid 33 4 4 25 24 81 -57 16

Recent Trends

Valladolid ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Betis (Goals: 1 - 5)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Osasuna (Goals: 2 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 2 - 4)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Getafe (Goals: 0 - 4)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Sociedad (Goals: 1 - 2)

Barcelona ✅ ✅ ✅ ⚪ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Mallorca (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Celta (Goals: 4 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Leganes (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Betis (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Girona (Goals: 4 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Valladolid

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.06
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.72
# Clean Sheets: 0

Barcelona

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.07
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.84
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming La Liga clash between Valladolid and Barcelona is heavily tilted in favor of the away team, with a staggering 99% probability of a Barcelona victory. In contrast, Valladolid has a 0% chance of winning, and the likelihood of a draw is also 0%. Barcelona sits atop the league standings with 76 points, while Valladolid finds themselves at the bottom in 20th place with just 16 points. The match is predicted to have more than 2.5 goals, with a 58% probability.

Match Analysis

Valladolid's recent performances have been challenging, suffering three consecutive losses, including a 1-5 defeat against Betis, a 2-3 loss to Osasuna, and a 2-4 setback against Atletico Madrid. Their defensive frailties are evident as they conceded an average of 2.6 goals over their last five games, while they only managed to score an average of 0.6 goals. Their expected goals (xG) of 1.058 suggests they have been underperforming in attack, while their expected goals against (xGA) of 1.724 further highlight defensive vulnerabilities. On the other hand, Barcelona comes into this match in strong form, having won their last three games. They secured a narrow 1-0 victory over Mallorca, a high-scoring 4-3 win against Celta, and a 1-0 triumph over Leganes. Barcelona's average of 2.4 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded in the last five matches underscores their dominance on both ends of the pitch. With an average xG of 2.07 and an xGA of 0.842, Barcelona's superior metrics suggest they should comfortably handle Valladolid's challenge.

Final Prediction

Barcelona's commanding position in the league and their recent form provide them with a significant edge going into this match. Valladolid's defensive struggles and lack of offensive firepower make it difficult to envision an upset. A key factor to watch during the game will be Barcelona's ability to exploit Valladolid's weak defense, potentially leading to a high-scoring affair.