La Liga 2025-2026: Vallecano vs Getafe Prediction

Vallecano

Home Team
74%
VS

Getafe

Away Team
11%
Draw: 14%
Over 2.5: 48%
Under 2.5: 52%
Goal: 51%
No Goal: 49%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 18 15 1 2 51 20 31 46
2 Real Madrid 18 13 3 2 36 16 20 42
3 Ath Madrid 18 11 4 3 33 16 17 37
4 Villarreal 16 11 2 3 31 15 16 35
5 Espanol 17 10 3 4 22 17 5 33
6 Betis 17 7 7 3 29 19 10 28
7 Celta 17 5 8 4 20 19 1 23
8 Betis 18 7 2 9 16 24 -8 23
9 Elche 17 5 7 5 23 20 3 22
10 Sevilla 17 6 2 9 24 26 -2 20
11 Getafe 17 6 2 9 13 22 -9 20
12 Osasuna 17 5 3 9 17 20 -3 18
13 Mallorca 17 4 6 7 19 24 -5 18
14 Alaves 17 5 3 9 14 20 -6 18
15 Vallecano 17 4 6 7 13 20 -7 18
16 Sociedad 17 4 5 8 21 25 -4 17
17 Valencia 17 3 7 7 16 26 -10 16
18 Girona 17 3 6 8 15 33 -18 15
19 Oviedo 17 2 5 10 7 26 -19 11
20 Levante 16 2 4 10 17 29 -12 10

Recent Trends

Vallecano ❌ ⚪ ❌ ⚪ ⚪

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Elche (Goals: 0 - 4)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Betis (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Espanol (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Valencia (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Oviedo (Goals: 0 - 0)

Getafe ❌ ❌ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Betis (Goals: 0 - 4)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Espanol (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Villarreal (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Elche (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 0 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Vallecano

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.87
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.90
# Clean Sheets: 2

Getafe

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.79
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.33
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Vallecano and Getafe is predicted to tilt in favor of the home team, Vallecano, with a strong probability of 74.0%. The likelihood of the game ending in a draw stands at 14.0%, while Getafe's chances of victory are 11.0%. The game is expected to have fewer than 2.5 goals scored, as indicated by a 48.0% probability, with both teams struggling to find the net recently. Vallecano currently sits 15th in La Liga, just one position below Getafe, who are 11th in the standings.

Match Analysis

Both Vallecano and Getafe have been struggling in their recent outings, with neither side managing to secure a victory in their last three matches. Vallecano's recent performances include a heavy 4-0 loss to Elche, a goalless draw at home against Betis, and a narrow 1-0 away defeat to Espanol. Despite their inability to score, Vallecano has shown some defensive resilience, achieving two clean sheets in their last five matches. Getafe, meanwhile, is on a worrying losing streak, having suffered defeats against Betis (4-0), Espanol (1-0), and Villarreal (2-0). Their recent form underscores defensive vulnerabilities, with an average of 1.8 goals conceded per match over their last five encounters. Offensively, both teams have been lackluster, each averaging just 0.4 goals scored per game in their last five matches. However, Vallecano's expected goals metrics suggest they could be more threatening, boasting an average of 1.872 expected goals compared to Getafe's 0.786.

Final Prediction

Vallecano is favored to win this contest primarily due to their stronger home performance and superior expected goals metrics, which indicate a potential to convert chances into goals. A key factor to watch will be Vallecano's ability to capitalize on their expected goals advantage and break through Getafe's shaky defense. This match promises to be a test of defensive capabilities, with Vallecano poised to end their winless streak.