La Liga 2025-2026: Vallecano vs Real Madrid Prediction
Vallecano
Home Team
3%
VS
Real Madrid
Away Team
93%
Draw: 4%
Over 2.5:
52%
Under 2.5:
48%
Goal:
57%
No Goal:
43%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Madrid | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 10 | 16 | 30 |
| 2 | Barcelona | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 10 | 12 | 23 |
| 4 | Ath Madrid | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 22 |
| 5 | Betis | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
| 6 | Espanol | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
| 7 | Getafe | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 17 |
| 8 | Alaves | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 15 |
| 9 | Elche | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Vallecano | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 14 |
| 11 | Betis | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 | Celta | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 13 |
| 13 | Sevilla | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 | Sociedad | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 12 |
| 15 | Osasuna | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 11 |
| 16 | Levante | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 9 |
| 17 | Mallorca | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 9 |
| 18 | Valencia | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 9 |
| 19 | Oviedo | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 8 |
| 20 | Girona | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 24 | -14 | 7 |
Recent Trends
Vallecano
- Last Match: vs Villarreal (Goals: 0 - 4)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Alaves (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Levante (Goals: 3 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Sociedad (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Sevilla (Goals: 0 - 1)
Real Madrid
- Last Match: vs Valencia (Goals: 4 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Barcelona (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Getafe (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Villarreal (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 2 - 5)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Vallecano
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.66
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.41
# Clean Sheets:
3
Real Madrid
Average Expected Goals (xG):
2.32
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.70
# Clean Sheets:
2
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Vallecano and Real Madrid is heavily tilted in favor of the visitors, with Real Madrid holding a commanding 93.0% probability of victory. Vallecano, currently positioned 10th in La Liga with 14 points, will face the league leaders, Real Madrid, who boast an impressive 30 points from 11 matches. The game is also expected to feature more than 2.5 goals, making it a potentially high-scoring encounter.
Match Analysis
Vallecano's recent performances have been a mixed bag, with two wins and one heavy loss in their last three outings. They convincingly defeated Alaves and Levante but were outclassed by Villarreal, conceding four goals without reply. Despite this inconsistency, Vallecano has managed to keep three clean sheets in their last five matches, indicating a potential for defensive resilience. However, they have struggled offensively, averaging just 0.75 goals per game across their last five fixtures.
In stark contrast, Real Madrid has been in scintillating form, winning their last three matches, including a decisive victory against arch-rivals Barcelona. Their potent attack averages 2.4 goals per game in the last five matches, complemented by a solid defense that has maintained two clean sheets. Key metrics indicate that Real Madrid creates numerous scoring opportunities, with an average of 2.32 expected goals, underscoring their attacking prowess.
Final Prediction
Real Madrid's current form and superior attacking capabilities give them a significant edge over Vallecano. Their ability to consistently score goals and maintain defensive solidity makes them formidable opponents. A key factor to watch during the game will be Real Madrid’s attacking transitions, which could prove decisive in breaking down Vallecano's defense and securing another win for the league leaders.