La Liga 2025-2026: Villarreal vs Real Madrid Prediction
Villarreal
Home Team
6%
VS
Real Madrid
Away Team
86%
Draw: 7%
Over 2.5:
57%
Under 2.5:
43%
Goal:
56%
No Goal:
44%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 20 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 54 | 22 | 32 | 49 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 20 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 43 | 17 | 26 | 48 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 41 |
| 4 | Ath Madrid | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 35 | 17 | 18 | 41 |
| 5 | Espanol | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 34 |
| 6 | Betis | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 33 | 25 | 8 | 32 |
| 7 | Celta | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 32 |
| 8 | Elche | 20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 24 |
| 9 | Sociedad | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 24 |
| 10 | Betis | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 24 |
| 11 | Girona | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 34 | -14 | 24 |
| 12 | Osasuna | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 22 |
| 13 | Vallecano | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 22 |
| 14 | Sevilla | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 21 |
| 15 | Mallorca | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 21 |
| 16 | Getafe | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 21 |
| 17 | Valencia | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 20 |
| 18 | Alaves | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 19 |
| 19 | Levante | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 14 |
| 20 | Oviedo | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 13 |
Recent Trends
Villarreal
- Last Match: vs Betis (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Alaves (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Elche (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Barcelona (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Getafe (Goals: 2 - 0)
Real Madrid
- Last Match: vs Levante (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Betis (Goals: 5 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Sevilla (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Alaves (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Celta (Goals: 0 - 2)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Villarreal
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.94
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.37
# Clean Sheets:
1
Real Madrid
Average Expected Goals (xG):
2.24
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.30
# Clean Sheets:
2
Key Prediction Insights
Real Madrid is expected to come out victorious in their upcoming clash against Villarreal, with a commanding probability of 86.0% for an away team win. The game is predicted to have over 2.5 goals with a 57.0% likelihood, suggesting an exciting and potentially high-scoring encounter. Real Madrid currently holds the second position in La Liga, closely trailing leaders Barcelona, while Villarreal sits in third place, making this a crucial match for both teams' title aspirations.
Match Analysis
Villarreal has shown resilience in their recent performances, managing to secure two wins in their last three games. They convincingly defeated Alaves and Elche, both with a 3-1 scoreline, but suffered a setback with a 2-0 loss to Betis. The Yellow Submarine has been particularly effective in attack, averaging 2.2 goals per game over their last five outings, although they have only managed to keep a clean sheet once in that span.
On the other hand, Real Madrid has been in formidable form, securing victories in their last three matches, including a commanding 5-1 win against Betis. They have maintained solid defensive performances, recording two clean sheets and conceding just 0.8 goals on average per game. Real Madrid also boasts a higher expected goals metric, indicating their attacking prowess and ability to create scoring opportunities consistently.
Final Prediction
Real Madrid's recent form and statistical advantages give them the edge over Villarreal. Their strong defensive record and ability to convert chances into goals make them favorites for this encounter. A key factor to watch will be Real Madrid's ability to capitalize on their expected goals and maintain their defensive discipline against a Villarreal side that is capable of pulling off surprises.