Ligue 1 2025-2026: Auxerre vs Paris SG Prediction

Auxerre

Home Team
1%
VS

Paris SG

Away Team
98%
Draw: 2%
Over 2.5: 55%
Under 2.5: 45%
Goal: 53%
No Goal: 47%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lens 18 14 1 3 32 13 19 43
2 Paris SG 18 13 3 2 40 15 25 42
3 Marseille 18 11 2 5 41 19 22 35
4 Lyon 18 10 3 5 27 18 9 33
5 Lille 18 10 2 6 33 25 8 32
6 Rennes 18 8 7 3 30 25 5 31
7 Strasbourg 18 8 3 7 28 22 6 27
8 Toulouse 18 7 5 6 29 23 6 26
9 Monaco 18 7 2 9 28 33 -5 23
10 Brest 18 6 4 8 24 29 -5 22
11 Angers 18 6 4 8 20 25 -5 22
12 Lorient 18 5 7 6 23 30 -7 22
13 Paris FC 18 5 4 9 24 32 -8 19
14 Le Havre 18 4 7 7 16 24 -8 19
15 Nice 18 5 3 10 21 35 -14 18
16 Nantes 18 3 5 10 17 30 -13 14
17 Auxerre 18 3 3 12 14 28 -14 12
18 Metz 18 3 3 12 19 40 -21 12

Recent Trends

Auxerre ❌ ❌ ❌ ✅ ⚪

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Lens (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Brest (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Lille (Goals: 3 - 4)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Metz (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Paris FC (Goals: 1 - 1)

Paris SG ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Lille (Goals: 3 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Paris FC (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Metz (Goals: 3 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Rennes (Goals: 5 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Monaco (Goals: 0 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Auxerre

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.58
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.92
# Clean Sheets: 0

Paris SG

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.87
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.76
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Auxerre and Paris SG is heavily tilted in favor of the visitors. Paris SG is predicted to win with a dominant probability of 98.0%, while Auxerre's chances stand at a mere 1.0%. The likelihood of the match featuring over 2.5 goals is 55.0%, pointing towards a high-scoring affair. Currently, Paris SG is positioned second in Ligue 1, a stark contrast to Auxerre's struggle at 17th place, battling relegation.

Match Analysis

Auxerre's recent form has been far from encouraging, with three consecutive defeats, including a narrow 1-0 loss to league leaders Lens and a disappointing 2-0 defeat to Brest. Even though they managed to score three goals against Lille, it wasn't enough to turn the tide as they lost 4-3. This recent run of form highlights their defensive vulnerabilities, as they have failed to keep any clean sheets in their last five outings. Their average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded in the last five matches further underlines their struggle to balance attack and defense effectively. In contrast, Paris SG has demonstrated their prowess with three successive victories, displaying a formidable attacking force. Their recent 3-0 win against Lille and a hard-fought 2-1 victory over Paris FC showcase their ability to secure results both dominantly and in closely contested matches. The advanced metrics reveal Paris SG's offensive strength, with an average of 2.0 goals scored per game in the last five, paired with a solid defensive record, only conceding 1.2 goals on average. Their ability to keep two clean sheets in this period underscores their defensive resilience.

Final Prediction

Paris SG's superior form and attacking firepower give them a significant edge over Auxerre in this encounter. Their robust goal-scoring capability, coupled with a relatively solid defense, makes them the clear favorites. One key factor to watch will be Paris SG's ability to maintain their offensive pressure, which could see them dominate the game and potentially increase their goal tally. With Auxerre fighting to escape the relegation zone, this match promises to be a crucial test of their resolve.