Brest
Ligue 1 · ELO profile, season forecast & model record
Season ELO trajectory
One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time. Second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.
Season simulation
2026-27 season forecast
Projected: #10 of 18 45.2 expected pts · currently 8 pts after 6 matches
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date (the dashed stretch covers rounds still to be played). Lower is better.
Full Ligue 1 simulation: every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
2025-26: what the model simulated, and what happened
Final: #12 of 18 in Ligue 1 39 pts · 10W-9D-15L · GD -12
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date. Lower is better.
Full Ligue 1 simulation: every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
How predictable is Brest?
In line with the league 2025-26 · 23 predicted matches
We grade every match forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade. Say 70% and it does not, bad grade, and the more confident we were, the bigger the penalty. Averaged over the season, Brest's results were 8.3% easier to call than the Ligue 1 average. How this is measured.
| Market | Brest | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | 52.2% | 48.5% |
| Under/Over 2.5 goals | 60.9% | 55.9% |
| Both teams to score | 47.8% | 48.5% |
Share of predicted matches our as-published prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average over the same season.
Season by season
| Season | League | Pos | Start | Peak | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | Ligue 1 | #9 | 1502 | 1526 | 1497 |
| 2025-26 | Ligue 1 | #12 | 1498 | 1553 | 1456 |
| 2024-25 | Ligue 1 | #9 | 1466 | 1570 | 1514 |
| 2023-24 | Ligue 1 | #4 | 1518 | 1638 | 1610 |
| 2022-23 | Ligue 1 | #10 | 1482 | 1552 | 1525 |
| 2021-22 | Ligue 1 | #13 | 1502 | 1573 | 1436 |
| 2020-21 | Ligue 1 | #18 | 1477 | 1518 | 1407 |
| 2019-20 | Ligue 1 | #16 | 1498 | 1536 | 1445 |
| 2018-19 | Ligue 2 | #3 | 1551 | 1679 | 1625 |
| 2017-18 | Ligue 2 | #4 | 1471 | 1610 | 1610 |
ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.
Recent matches: model vs reality
Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0
The Ligue 1 title odds & club ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0. Attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:
Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/brest">Ligue 1 title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)Or embed the live, self-updating widget (the credit link is built in):
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<a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/brest">Ligue 1 title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a>