Ligue 1 2024-2025: Brest vs Monaco Prediction - 5 Apr 2025

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Brest

Home Team
12%
VS

Monaco

Away Team
76%
Draw: 12%
Over 2.5: 70%
Under 2.5: 30%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 27 22 5 0 79 26 53 71
2 Monaco 27 15 5 7 53 33 20 50
3 Marseille 27 15 4 8 54 36 18 49
4 Nice 27 13 8 6 51 33 18 47
5 Lille 27 13 8 6 41 28 13 47
6 Strasbourg 27 13 7 7 45 35 10 46
7 Lyon 27 13 6 8 52 37 15 45
8 Brest 27 12 4 11 42 42 0 40
9 Lens 27 11 6 10 31 30 1 39
10 Auxerre 27 9 8 10 38 39 -1 35
11 Toulouse 27 9 7 11 35 33 2 34
12 Rennes 27 10 2 15 38 37 1 32
13 Nantes 27 6 9 12 31 46 -15 27
14 Angers 27 7 6 14 26 45 -19 27
15 Reims 27 6 8 13 29 41 -12 26
16 Le Havre 27 7 3 17 29 57 -28 24
17 St Etienne 26 5 5 16 26 63 -37 20
18 Montpellier 26 4 3 19 21 60 -39 15

Recent Trends

Brest W D W L D

  • Last Match: W vs Toulouse (Goals: 4 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: D vs Reims (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: W vs Angers (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Lyon (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: D vs Strasbourg (Goals: 0 - 0)

Monaco W W D W L

  • Last Match: W vs Nice (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: W vs Angers (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: D vs Toulouse (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: W vs Reims (Goals: 3 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: L vs Lille (Goals: 1 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Brest

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.76
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.66
# Clean Sheets: 3

Monaco

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.07
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.71
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Brest and Monaco is heavily tilted in favor of the visitors. With a 76% probability of an away win, Monaco is predicted to secure victory against Brest, who have a mere 12% chance of winning. Additionally, the likelihood of over 2.5 goals being scored in this match is set at 70%. Monaco currently sits second in Ligue 1 with 50 points, while Brest holds the eighth position with 40 points.

Match Analysis

Brest enters this fixture having shown solid form in their recent matches. They have won two of their last three games, achieving victories over Angers and Toulouse, and securing a goalless draw against Reims. These performances have been bolstered by a robust defense, evident in their three clean sheets over the last five matches. Brest has been averaging 1.6 goals scored and conceded per game, showcasing their ability to balance attack and defense effectively. On the other hand, Monaco has also been in good form, having accumulated wins against Nice and Angers, along with a draw against Toulouse. While they scored an average of just 1.2 goals per match over the last five games, their expected goals figure was higher at 2.07, indicating potential for better conversion in future matches. Monaco's defense has been somewhat leaky, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game, although they have managed two clean sheets in their last five outings.

Final Prediction

Monaco's higher league position and recent form give them a significant edge in this encounter. With the probability of an away win standing at 76%, their attacking prowess, hinted at by their expected goals statistics, could be a decisive factor. Fans should keep an eye on Monaco's ability to convert chances into goals, as this will likely be pivotal in determining the outcome of the match.

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