Angers

Ligue 1 · ELO profile, season forecast & model record

ELO 1374 · #16 Ligue 1 On script Updated May 03, 2026

Season ELO trajectory

One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time; second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.

Season simulation

2026-27 season forecast

Projected: #18 of 18 37.3 expected pts · pre-season forecast

League title 0.2%
Champions League 2.3%
Europa League 3.6%
Relegation playoff 11.3%
Relegation 31.6%

The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date — the dashed stretch covers rounds still to be played. Lower is better.

Full Ligue 1 simulation — every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →

How predictable is Angers?

On script 2025-26 · 25 predicted matches

We grade every match forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade; say 70% and it does not, bad grade — and the more confident we were, the bigger the penalty. Averaged over the season, Angers's results were 10.6% easier to call than the Ligue 1 average. How this is measured.

MarketAngersLeague avg
Match result (1X2) 56.0% 47.2%
Under/Over 2.5 goals 56.0% 55.7%
Both teams to score 32.0% 48.6%

Share of predicted matches our as-published prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average over the same season.

Season by season

SeasonLeaguePosStartPeakEnd
2025-26 Ligue 1 #16 1501 1517 1374
2024-25 Ligue 1 #15 1471 1500 1430
2023-24 Ligue 2 #4 1481 1656 1594
2022-23 Ligue 1 #19 1498 1499 1285
2021-22 Ligue 1 #16 1533 1569 1393
2020-21 Ligue 1 #19 1529 1562 1386
2019-20 Ligue 1 #12 1520 1562 1497
2018-19 Ligue 1 #12 1471 1539 1497
2017-18 Ligue 1 #14 1498 1532 1424
2016-17 Ligue 1 #9 1482 1526 1484
2015-16 Ligue 1 #17 1533 1589 1431

ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.

Recent matches — model vs reality

DateOpponentModel saidResult
May 03, 2026 at Auxerre L Angers 22.2% · draw 21.7% L ✓
Apr 25, 2026 vs Paris Saint-Germain L Angers 14.4% · draw 14.7% L ✓
Apr 18, 2026 vs Le Havre L Angers 36.2% · draw 26.0% D ✗
Apr 11, 2026 at Rennes L Angers 10.2% · draw 12.2% L ✓
Apr 05, 2026 vs Lyon L Angers 22.7% · draw 20.5% D ✗
Mar 20, 2026 at Lens L Angers 10.5% · draw 12.5% L ✓
Mar 14, 2026 vs Nice W Angers 42.0% · draw 24.2% L ✗
Feb 28, 2026 at Monaco L Angers 15.5% · draw 16.8% L ✓
Feb 22, 2026 vs Lille L Angers 16.9% · draw 16.5% L ✓
Feb 15, 2026 at Lorient L Angers 23.2% · draw 22.3% L ✓

Reuse this data — CC BY 4.0

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