Angers

Ligue 1 · ELO profile, season forecast & model record

ELO 1469 · #15 Ligue 1 2W-1D-3L · 7 pts On script Updated Oct 11, 2026

Season ELO trajectory

One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time. Second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.

Season simulation

2026-27 season forecast

Projected: #15 of 18 36.6 expected pts · currently 7 pts after 6 matches

League title 0.0%
Champions League places 0.1%
Europa League 0.9%
Relegation playoff 14.8%
Relegation 22.5%

The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date (the dashed stretch covers rounds still to be played). Lower is better.

Full Ligue 1 simulation: every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →

How predictable is Angers?

On script 2025-26 · 24 predicted matches

We grade every match forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade. Say 70% and it does not, bad grade, and the more confident we were, the bigger the penalty. Averaged over the season, Angers's results were 18.3% easier to call than the Ligue 1 average. How this is measured.

MarketAngersLeague avg
Match result (1X2) 62.5% 48.5%
Under/Over 2.5 goals 58.3% 55.9%
Both teams to score 25.0% 48.5%

Share of predicted matches our as-published prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average over the same season.

Season by season

SeasonLeaguePosStartPeakEnd
2026-27 Ligue 1 #15 1467 1501 1470
2025-26 Ligue 1 #16 1501 1517 1374
2024-25 Ligue 1 #15 1471 1500 1430
2023-24 Ligue 2 #4 1481 1656 1594
2022-23 Ligue 1 #19 1498 1499 1285
2021-22 Ligue 1 #16 1533 1569 1393
2020-21 Ligue 1 #19 1529 1562 1386
2019-20 Ligue 1 #12 1520 1562 1497
2018-19 Ligue 1 #12 1471 1539 1497
2017-18 Ligue 1 #14 1498 1532 1424
2016-17 Ligue 1 #9 1482 1526 1484
2015-16 Ligue 1 #17 1533 1589 1431

ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.

Recent matches: model vs reality

DateOpponentModel saidResult
Oct 10, 2026 at Brest L Angers 27.1% · draw 26.9% L ✓

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