Ligue 1 2025-2026: Monaco vs Rennes Prediction
Monaco
Home Team
48%
VS
Rennes
Away Team
28%
Draw: 24%
Over 2.5:
53%
Under 2.5:
47%
Goal:
53%
No Goal:
47%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris FC | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 41 | 15 | 26 | 45 |
| 2 | Lens | 19 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 33 | 16 | 17 | 43 |
| 3 | Marseille | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 44 | 20 | 24 | 38 |
| 4 | Lyon | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 36 |
| 5 | Lille | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 32 |
| 6 | Rennes | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 31 |
| 7 | Strasbourg | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 30 |
| 8 | Toulouse | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 29 |
| 9 | Lorient | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 25 |
| 10 | Monaco | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 24 |
| 11 | Angers | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 23 |
| 12 | Brest | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 22 |
| 13 | Nice | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 21 |
| 14 | Paris FC | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 20 |
| 15 | Le Havre | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 20 |
| 16 | Nantes | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 14 |
| 17 | Auxerre | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
| 18 | Metz | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 21 | 45 | -24 | 12 |
Recent Trends
Monaco
- Last Match: vs Le Havre (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Lorient (Goals: 1 - 3)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Lyon (Goals: 1 - 3)
- 4th Last Match: vs Marseille (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Brest (Goals: 0 - 1)
Rennes
- Last Match: vs Lorient (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Le Havre (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Lille (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Brest (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Paris SG (Goals: 0 - 5)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Monaco
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.20
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.81
# Clean Sheets:
1
Rennes
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.05
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.71
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
Monaco is predicted to emerge victorious in their upcoming clash against Rennes, with a 48.0% probability of winning. The likelihood of the match featuring over 2.5 goals stands at 53.0%, suggesting an exciting contest is on the cards. Currently, Rennes is positioned 6th in the Ligue 1 standings, while Monaco sits at 10th, indicating that Monaco might have the momentum to climb up the table with a win.
Match Analysis
In their recent outings, Monaco has struggled to find form, enduring a challenging period with two consecutive defeats against Lorient and Lyon, both ending 1-3. A goalless draw against Le Havre did little to boost their confidence, highlighting their issues in attack and defense. Over their last five games, Monaco has averaged just 0.8 goals while conceding 2.2 goals per match, which underscores their vulnerability at the back.
Conversely, Rennes has shown a more balanced performance. Although they suffered a 0-2 defeat to Lorient, they managed a win against Lille with a clean sheet and secured a draw against Le Havre. Rennes' average goals scored and conceded in the last five games stand at 1.2 and 1.4, respectively, pointing towards a relatively stable but slightly inconsistent defense. The advanced metrics indicate that both teams have similar expected goals scored and conceded, suggesting that clear-cut chances might be at a premium.
Final Prediction
Monaco's predicted edge in the match might stem from their need to rebound from recent setbacks and capitalize on home advantage. To secure a win, they must tighten their defense and improve goal-scoring efficiency. A key factor to watch will be Monaco's ability to convert chances created, as they have been underperforming in terms of actual goals compared to their expected figures. A focused and determined display could see Monaco end their winless streak and edge closer to the top half of the table.