Ligue 1 2025-2026: Monaco vs Rennes Prediction - 31 Jan 2026

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Monaco

Home Team
48%
VS

Rennes

Away Team
28%
Draw: 24%
Over 2.5: 53%
Under 2.5: 47%
Goal: 53%
No Goal: 47%

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Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris FC 19 14 3 2 41 15 26 45
2 Lens 19 14 1 4 33 16 17 43
3 Marseille 19 12 2 5 44 20 24 38
4 Lyon 19 11 3 5 32 20 12 36
5 Lille 19 10 2 7 34 29 5 32
6 Rennes 19 8 7 4 30 27 3 31
7 Strasbourg 19 9 3 7 32 23 9 30
8 Toulouse 19 8 5 6 31 23 8 29
9 Lorient 19 6 7 6 25 30 -5 25
10 Monaco 19 7 3 9 28 33 -5 24
11 Angers 19 6 5 8 20 25 -5 23
12 Brest 19 6 4 9 24 31 -7 22
13 Nice 19 6 3 10 25 36 -11 21
14 Paris FC 19 5 5 9 24 32 -8 20
15 Le Havre 19 4 8 7 16 24 -8 20
16 Nantes 19 3 5 11 18 34 -16 14
17 Auxerre 19 3 3 13 14 29 -15 12
18 Metz 19 3 3 13 21 45 -24 12

Recent Trends

Monaco D L L L L

  • Last Match: D vs Le Havre (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: L vs Lorient (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: L vs Lyon (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Marseille (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: L vs Brest (Goals: 0 - 1)

Rennes L D W W L

  • Last Match: L vs Lorient (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: D vs Le Havre (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: W vs Lille (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: W vs Brest (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: L vs Paris SG (Goals: 0 - 5)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Monaco

xG (avg) 1.20
xGA (avg) 1.81
Clean Sheets 1

Rennes

xG (avg) 1.05
xGA (avg) 1.71
Clean Sheets 1

Key Prediction Insights

Monaco is predicted to emerge victorious in their upcoming clash against Rennes, with a 48.0% probability of winning. The likelihood of the match featuring over 2.5 goals stands at 53.0%, suggesting an exciting contest is on the cards. Currently, Rennes is positioned 6th in the Ligue 1 standings, while Monaco sits at 10th, indicating that Monaco might have the momentum to climb up the table with a win.

Match Analysis

In their recent outings, Monaco has struggled to find form, enduring a challenging period with two consecutive defeats against Lorient and Lyon, both ending 1-3. A goalless draw against Le Havre did little to boost their confidence, highlighting their issues in attack and defense. Over their last five games, Monaco has averaged just 0.8 goals while conceding 2.2 goals per match, which underscores their vulnerability at the back. Conversely, Rennes has shown a more balanced performance. Although they suffered a 0-2 defeat to Lorient, they managed a win against Lille with a clean sheet and secured a draw against Le Havre. Rennes' average goals scored and conceded in the last five games stand at 1.2 and 1.4, respectively, pointing towards a relatively stable but slightly inconsistent defense. The advanced metrics indicate that both teams have similar expected goals scored and conceded, suggesting that clear-cut chances might be at a premium.

Final Prediction

Monaco's predicted edge in the match might stem from their need to rebound from recent setbacks and capitalize on home advantage. To secure a win, they must tighten their defense and improve goal-scoring efficiency. A key factor to watch will be Monaco's ability to convert chances created, as they have been underperforming in terms of actual goals compared to their expected figures. A focused and determined display could see Monaco end their winless streak and edge closer to the top half of the table.

More Football Predictions

Today's AI picks across Serie A, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga and Ligue 1:

Over/Under 2.5 Goals Draw Predictions Both Teams to Score Goal Spread Corners

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