Ligue 1 2024-2025: Rennes vs Auxerre Prediction - 6 Apr 2025

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Rennes

Home Team
66%
VS

Auxerre

Away Team
16%
Draw: 18%
Over 2.5: 57%
Under 2.5: 43%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 27 22 5 0 79 26 53 71
2 Monaco 27 15 5 7 53 33 20 50
3 Marseille 27 15 4 8 54 36 18 49
4 Nice 27 13 8 6 51 33 18 47
5 Lille 27 13 8 6 41 28 13 47
6 Strasbourg 27 13 7 7 45 35 10 46
7 Lyon 27 13 6 8 52 37 15 45
8 Brest 27 12 4 11 42 42 0 40
9 Lens 27 11 6 10 31 30 1 39
10 Auxerre 27 9 8 10 38 39 -1 35
11 Toulouse 27 9 7 11 35 33 2 34
12 Rennes 27 10 2 15 38 37 1 32
13 Nantes 27 6 9 12 31 46 -15 27
14 Angers 27 7 6 14 26 45 -19 27
15 Reims 27 6 8 13 29 41 -12 26
16 Le Havre 27 7 3 17 29 57 -28 24
17 St Etienne 26 5 5 16 26 63 -37 20
18 Montpellier 26 4 3 19 21 60 -39 15

Recent Trends

Rennes W L L W W

  • Last Match: W vs Angers (Goals: 3 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: L vs Lens (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: L vs Paris SG (Goals: 1 - 4)
  • 4th Last Match: W vs Montpellier (Goals: 4 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Reims (Goals: 1 - 0)

Auxerre W D W L W

  • Last Match: W vs Montpellier (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: D vs Nice (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: W vs Reims (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Strasbourg (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Marseille (Goals: 3 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Rennes

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.66
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.89
# Clean Sheets: 3

Auxerre

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.22
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.88
# Clean Sheets: 3

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Rennes and Auxerre is predicted to tilt in favor of the home team, Rennes, with a 66.0% probability of victory. The match is also expected to produce over 2.5 goals, with a 57.0% chance of this outcome. Currently, Auxerre is positioned 10th in Ligue 1 standings, while Rennes is slightly lower at 12th.

Match Analysis

Rennes has experienced a mixed bag of results in their last three outings, securing a comprehensive 3-0 win against Angers, but suffering defeats against Lens and Paris SG. Despite their inconsistent form, they have managed to keep clean sheets in three of their last five matches, showcasing a resilient defense at times. Their attack, however, has been less prolific, averaging just 0.8 goals per game in their recent performances, which could be a concern against a competitive Auxerre side. Auxerre, on the other hand, has shown better form with two wins and a draw in their last three fixtures. Their victories against Montpellier and Reims, both without conceding, highlight their defensive solidity. Auxerre has also been slightly more effective in front of goal, averaging 1.4 goals per game over their last five matches. Their ability to keep clean sheets, similar to Rennes, could play a crucial role in this encounter.

Final Prediction

Rennes' higher probability of winning is likely due to their home advantage and a sturdy defensive record in recent matches. However, Auxerre's recent form and ability to secure clean sheets may pose a significant challenge. Key to watch will be Rennes' ability to convert their expected goals into actual ones, as this might be the decisive factor in breaking down Auxerre's defense.

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