Ligue 1 2025-2026: Strasbourg vs Lorient Prediction
Strasbourg
Home Team
62%
VS
Lorient
Away Team
18%
Draw: 19%
Over 2.5:
51%
Under 2.5:
49%
Goal:
51%
No Goal:
49%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lens | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 34 |
| 2 | Paris SG | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 12 | 20 | 33 |
| 3 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 35 | 15 | 20 | 29 |
| 4 | Lille | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 29 |
| 5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 24 |
| 6 | Rennes | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 24 |
| 7 | Monaco | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 23 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 22 |
| 9 | Toulouse | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 20 |
| 10 | Brest | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 19 |
| 11 | Angers | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 19 |
| 12 | Nice | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 17 |
| 13 | Lorient | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 17 |
| 14 | Paris FC | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 16 |
| 15 | Le Havre | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 15 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 12 |
| 17 | Nantes | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 11 |
| 18 | Metz | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 34 | -19 | 11 |
Recent Trends
Strasbourg
- Last Match: vs Toulouse (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Brest (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Lens (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Lille (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Rennes (Goals: 1 - 4)
Lorient
- Last Match: vs Lyon (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Nice (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Nantes (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Toulouse (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Lens (Goals: 0 - 3)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Strasbourg
Average Expected Goals (xG):
2.28
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
0.89
# Clean Sheets:
1
Lorient
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.29
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.90
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
Strasbourg is predicted to win against Lorient with a 62.0% probability, suggesting a strong likelihood of a home victory. The match is also expected to be a high-scoring affair, with a 51.0% chance of over 2.5 goals. Strasbourg currently sits in 8th place in Ligue 1, while Lorient is in 13th place, which underscores the home team's favored status.
Match Analysis
Strasbourg enters this fixture on the back of three consecutive losses, all by narrow margins, with their most recent defeat being a 1-0 loss to Lens. Despite this losing streak, Strasbourg's average of 2.4 goals scored in their last five games indicates they have the potential to find the back of the net, although their recent scoreless outings could be a concern. Their defensive resilience has been notable, with an average of only 0.8 goals conceded in the same period, suggesting a solid backline.
On the other hand, Lorient has shown a mixed bag of results in their last three matches, with two wins followed by a draw. Their victory over Lyon and a convincing 3-1 win against Nice at home highlight their potential to cause an upset. However, Lorient's defense has been somewhat shaky, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game over their last five matches. Despite this, their expected goals metrics indicate they are creating more chances than their recent goal tally suggests, which could pose a threat to Strasbourg.
Final Prediction
Strasbourg's strong home advantage and superior league standing give them the edge in this matchup. Their robust defensive record and the ability to score should see them capitalize on Lorient's defensive vulnerabilities. A key factor to watch will be Strasbourg's ability to convert their chances into goals, which could be the decisive element in securing victory.