Premier League 2025-2026: Aston Villa vs Arsenal Prediction
Aston Villa
Home Team
15%
VS
Arsenal
Away Team
70%
Draw: 15%
Over 2.5:
49%
Under 2.5:
51%
Goal:
53%
No Goal:
47%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 27 | 7 | 20 | 33 |
| 2 | Man City | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 28 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 27 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 24 |
| 5 | Crystal Palace | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 23 |
| 6 | Sunderland | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 23 |
| 7 | Brighton | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 22 |
| 8 | Man United | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 22 |
| 9 | Liverpool | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 22 |
| 10 | Everton | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 21 |
| 11 | Tottenham | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 19 |
| 12 | Newcastle | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 19 |
| 13 | Brentford | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 19 |
| 14 | Bournemouth | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 19 |
| 15 | Fulham | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 17 |
| 16 | Nott'm Forest | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 15 |
| 17 | Leeds | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 14 |
| 18 | West Ham | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
| 19 | Burnley | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 10 |
| 20 | Wolves | 14 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 29 | -22 | 2 |
Recent Trends
Aston Villa
- Last Match: vs Brighton (Goals: 4 - 3)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Wolves (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Leeds (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Bournemouth (Goals: 4 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Liverpool (Goals: 0 - 2)
Arsenal
- Last Match: vs Brentford (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Chelsea (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Tottenham (Goals: 4 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Sunderland (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Burnley (Goals: 2 - 0)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Aston Villa
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.40
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.10
# Clean Sheets:
2
Arsenal
Average Expected Goals (xG):
2.05
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
0.78
# Clean Sheets:
2
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Aston Villa and Arsenal is predicted to lean heavily in favor of the visiting team, Arsenal, with a 70% probability of victory. Aston Villa's chances of clinching a win stand at 15%, matching the likelihood of a draw. Arsenal, currently topping the Premier League standings, will face third-placed Aston Villa. The match is expected to feature fewer than 2.5 goals, with goals anticipated in the game.
Match Analysis
Aston Villa enters this match with a strong recent form, securing victories in their last three outings. They have shown resilience, notably in their 4-3 triumph against Brighton and a solid defensive display in their 1-0 win over Wolves. Villa has averaged 2.2 goals per game in their recent performances, while maintaining a disciplined defense, conceding only 0.4 goals on average.
Arsenal, on the other hand, have maintained their dominance at the top of the league with consistent performances. They recently defeated Brentford 2-0 and managed a respectable 1-1 draw against Chelsea. The Gunners have a solid track record, scoring an average of 1.6 goals per game recently. Their expected goals metrics suggest a strong offensive capability, with an average of 2.046 expected goals scored per game, underscoring their potential to create scoring opportunities.
Final Prediction
Arsenal's position at the summit of the Premier League table, combined with their robust defensive and offensive metrics, gives them a significant edge over Aston Villa. The Gunners' ability to generate chances and maintain a tight defense will be crucial in this encounter. A key factor to watch will be Arsenal's capacity to convert their expected goals into actual goals, a potential game-changer in securing an away victory.