Premier League 2024-2025: Aston Villa vs Fulham Prediction

Aston Villa

Home Team
57%
VS

Fulham

Away Team
21%
Draw: 22%
Over 2.5: 62%
Under 2.5: 38%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 34 25 7 2 80 32 48 82
2 Arsenal 34 18 13 3 63 29 34 67
3 Newcastle 34 19 5 10 65 44 21 62
4 Man City 34 18 7 9 66 43 23 61
5 Chelsea 34 17 9 8 59 40 19 60
6 Nott'm Forest 33 18 6 9 53 39 14 60
7 Aston Villa 34 16 9 9 54 49 5 57
8 Fulham 34 14 9 11 50 46 4 51
9 Brighton 34 13 12 9 56 55 1 51
10 Bournemouth 34 13 11 10 53 41 12 50
11 Brentford 33 13 7 13 56 50 6 46
12 Crystal Palace 34 11 12 11 43 47 -4 45
13 Wolves 34 12 5 17 51 61 -10 41
14 Man United 34 10 9 15 39 47 -8 39
15 Everton 34 8 14 12 34 41 -7 38
16 Tottenham 34 11 4 19 62 56 6 37
17 West Ham 34 9 9 16 39 58 -19 36
18 Ipswich 34 4 9 21 33 74 -41 21
19 Leicester 34 4 6 24 27 76 -49 18
20 Southampton 34 2 5 27 25 80 -55 11

Recent Trends

Aston Villa ❌ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Man City (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Newcastle (Goals: 4 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Southampton (Goals: 3 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Nott'm Forest (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Brighton (Goals: 3 - 0)

Fulham ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Southampton (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Chelsea (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Bournemouth (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Liverpool (Goals: 3 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Arsenal (Goals: 1 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Aston Villa

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.46
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.36
# Clean Sheets: 2

Fulham

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.33
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.59
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

Aston Villa is predicted to come out on top against Fulham with a 57.0% probability of winning, reflecting their superior form and current standing in the league. The game is also expected to be a high-scoring affair, with a 62.0% chance of exceeding 2.5 goals. Aston Villa sits in 7th place with 57 points, while Fulham is trailing in 8th place with 51 points.

Match Analysis

In their recent outings, Aston Villa has displayed commendable form, winning two of their last three matches, including an impressive 4-1 victory over Newcastle at home. Their ability to score, averaging 2.2 goals in their last five games, is complemented by a relatively solid defense, which has secured two clean sheets in the same span. These performances are backed by strong expected goals metrics, with Aston Villa generating an average of 2.458 expected goals per game. Conversely, Fulham's recent performances have been less consistent, suffering two losses in their last three matches. Despite a win over Southampton, they fell short against Chelsea and Bournemouth. Fulham has struggled to find the back of the net consistently, averaging 1.2 goals per game in their last five outings and failing to secure any clean sheets. Their defensive vulnerabilities are highlighted by their 1.594 expected goals conceded per game, suggesting they may find it challenging to contain Aston Villa's offensive threat.

Final Prediction

Aston Villa's recent form, coupled with their ability to perform at home, gives them a clear edge over Fulham in this matchup. Their potent attack, capable of surpassing the 2.5 goals mark, could prove too much for Fulham's defense. A key factor to watch will be how Aston Villa leverages their home advantage to pressurize Fulham's backline early in the game.