Premier League 2025-2026: Brentford vs Bournemouth Prediction

Brentford

Home Team
49%
VS

Bournemouth

Away Team
26%
Draw: 25%
Over 2.5: 51%
Under 2.5: 49%
Goal: 56%
No Goal: 44%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 17 12 3 2 31 10 21 39
2 Man City 17 12 1 4 41 16 25 37
3 Aston Villa 17 11 3 3 27 18 9 36
4 Chelsea 17 8 5 4 29 17 12 29
5 Liverpool 17 9 2 6 28 25 3 29
6 Sunderland 17 7 6 4 19 17 2 27
7 Man United 17 7 5 5 31 28 3 26
8 Crystal Palace 17 7 5 5 21 19 2 26
9 Brighton 17 6 6 5 25 23 2 24
10 Everton 17 7 3 7 18 20 -2 24
11 Newcastle 17 6 5 6 23 22 1 23
12 Brentford 17 7 2 8 24 25 -1 23
13 Fulham 17 7 2 8 24 26 -2 23
14 Tottenham 17 6 4 7 26 23 3 22
15 Bournemouth 17 5 7 5 26 29 -3 22
16 Leeds 17 5 4 8 24 31 -7 19
17 Nott'm Forest 17 5 3 9 17 26 -9 18
18 West Ham 17 3 4 10 19 35 -16 13
19 Burnley 17 3 2 12 19 34 -15 11
20 Wolves 17 0 2 15 9 37 -28 2

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Brentford

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.22
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.23
# Clean Sheets: 1

Bournemouth

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.82
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.66
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Brentford and Bournemouth is expected to be an exciting encounter with Brentford favored to secure victory with a 49.0% probability. The likelihood of Bournemouth winning is pegged at 26.0%, leaving a 25.0% chance for a draw. Fans can anticipate a high-scoring game with a 51.0% chance of over 2.5 goals. Currently, Brentford sits in the 12th position in the Premier League table, while Bournemouth follows closely in 15th position.

Match Analysis

Brentford's recent form has been a mixed bag, with a win, a draw, and a loss in their last three matches. They emerged victorious against Wolves with a 2-0 win away from home, shared points with Leeds in a 1-1 draw on their turf, and suffered a 0-2 defeat against Tottenham away. Their ability to score, with an average of 2.0 goals per game in recent outings, highlights their offensive capabilities, further supported by an expected goals metric of 2.224. Defensively, they have maintained one clean sheet in five matches, conceding an average of 1.2 goals, indicating a relatively solid defensive structure. Bournemouth, on the other hand, has shown resilience with three consecutive draws, including a thrilling 4-4 away game against Manchester United. Although their defense has been porous, conceding an average of 3.4 goals, their offensive front has been equally active, scoring an average of 2.0 goals per game. Their expected goals figure of 1.82 suggests they are creating chances, but their expected goals conceded of 2.662 indicates defensive vulnerabilities that Brentford might exploit.

Final Prediction

Brentford's edge in this matchup stems from their relatively stable defense and consistent goal-scoring form, which stands in contrast to Bournemouth's defensive struggles. A key factor to watch will be how Brentford leverages their home advantage and offensive efficiency to counter Bournemouth's attacking threats. With both teams capable of finding the net, fans should anticipate an engaging contest with plenty of goal-scoring opportunities.