Premier League 2024-2025: Brighton vs West Ham Prediction - 26 Apr 2025

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Brighton

Home Team
79%
VS

West Ham

Away Team
9%
Draw: 12%
Over 2.5: 55%
Under 2.5: 45%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 33 24 7 2 75 31 44 79
2 Arsenal 34 18 13 3 63 29 34 67
3 Man City 34 18 7 9 66 43 23 61
4 Nott'm Forest 33 18 6 9 53 39 14 60
5 Newcastle 33 18 5 10 62 44 18 59
6 Chelsea 33 16 9 8 58 40 18 57
7 Aston Villa 34 16 9 9 54 49 5 57
8 Bournemouth 33 13 10 10 52 40 12 49
9 Fulham 33 13 9 11 48 45 3 48
10 Brighton 33 12 12 9 53 53 0 48
11 Brentford 33 13 7 13 56 50 6 46
12 Crystal Palace 34 11 12 11 43 47 -4 45
13 Everton 33 8 14 11 34 40 -6 38
14 Man United 33 10 8 15 38 46 -8 38
15 Wolves 33 11 5 17 48 61 -13 38
16 Tottenham 33 11 4 18 61 51 10 37
17 West Ham 33 9 9 15 37 55 -18 36
18 Ipswich 33 4 9 20 33 71 -38 21
19 Leicester 33 4 6 23 27 73 -46 18
20 Southampton 33 2 5 26 24 78 -54 11

Recent Trends

Brighton L D L L D

  • Last Match: L vs Brentford (Goals: 2 - 4)
  • 2nd Last Match: D vs Leicester (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: L vs Crystal Palace (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Aston Villa (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: D vs Man City (Goals: 2 - 2)

West Ham D L D L D

  • Last Match: D vs Southampton (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: L vs Liverpool (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: D vs Bournemouth (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Wolves (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: D vs Everton (Goals: 1 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Brighton

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.17
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.25
# Clean Sheets: 0

West Ham

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.19
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.30
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

Brighton is predicted to claim victory with a strong probability of 79.0% against West Ham. The likelihood of the match featuring over 2.5 goals is 55.0%, suggesting an exciting contest with plenty of action in front of goal. Currently, Brighton sits 10th in the Premier League standings, while West Ham is struggling in 17th, just above the relegation zone.

Match Analysis

In their last three outings, Brighton has experienced a rough patch, with a loss to Brentford (2-4), a draw against Leicester (2-2), and another loss to Crystal Palace (1-2). Despite this, their attacking prowess remains evident, averaging 1.8 goals in their last five games and boasting 2.17 expected goals. However, Brighton's defense has been porous, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per game and failing to secure a clean sheet in their recent matches. West Ham, on the other hand, also finds themselves in a challenging period, having drawn against Southampton (1-1) and Bournemouth (2-2), and suffered a narrow defeat to Liverpool (1-2). Their goal-scoring form is less prolific, with an average of 0.8 goals in the last five encounters. Moreover, the Hammers have conceded an average of 1.2 goals per game, highlighting defensive frailties that could be exploited by Brighton's offensive capabilities.

Final Prediction

Brighton is poised to capitalize on West Ham's vulnerabilities, with their superior attacking metrics providing a clear edge. The Seagulls' ability to create goal-scoring opportunities against a West Ham side that has struggled both defensively and offensively could be the decisive factor. Keep an eye on Brighton's attacking flair as they aim to break their winless streak and secure all three points.

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