Premier League 2025-2026: Chelsea vs Wolves Prediction
Chelsea
Home Team
93%
VS
Wolves
Away Team
3%
Draw: 4%
Over 2.5:
53%
Under 2.5:
47%
Goal:
51%
No Goal:
49%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 3 | 15 | 25 |
| 2 | Man City | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 8 | 12 | 19 |
| 3 | Liverpool | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 18 |
| 4 | Sunderland | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Bournemouth | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 18 |
| 6 | Tottenham | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 17 |
| 7 | Chelsea | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 17 |
| 8 | Man United | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 17 |
| 9 | Crystal Palace | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 16 |
| 10 | Brighton | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
| 11 | Aston Villa | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
| 12 | Brentford | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 | Newcastle | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 12 |
| 14 | Everton | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 12 |
| 15 | Fulham | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 11 |
| 16 | Leeds | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 11 |
| 17 | Burnley | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 10 |
| 18 | West Ham | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 7 |
| 19 | Nott'm Forest | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 6 |
| 20 | Wolves | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 22 | -15 | 2 |
Recent Trends
Chelsea
- Last Match: vs Tottenham (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Sunderland (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Nott'm Forest (Goals: 3 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Liverpool (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Brighton (Goals: 1 - 3)
Wolves
- Last Match: vs Fulham (Goals: 0 - 3)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Burnley (Goals: 2 - 3)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Sunderland (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Brighton (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Tottenham (Goals: 1 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Chelsea
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.66
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.57
# Clean Sheets:
2
Wolves
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.56
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.34
# Clean Sheets:
0
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Chelsea and Wolves is heavily skewed in favor of Chelsea, with a staggering 93% probability of a home victory. The likelihood of Wolves pulling off an upset stands at a mere 3%, while a draw is slightly more plausible at 4%. The match is predicted to see over 2.5 goals, aligning with Chelsea's current seventh-place standing in the Premier League, compared to Wolves languishing at the bottom in 20th position.
Match Analysis
Chelsea enters this fixture on a relative high, having secured victories in two of their last three matches. A notable 1-0 triumph away against Tottenham and an emphatic 3-0 win over Nottingham Forest highlight their capability to both score and maintain defensive solidity. However, a recent home loss to Sunderland (1-2) does signal potential vulnerabilities at Stamford Bridge. Chelsea's advanced metrics reveal an average of 1.2 goals scored and conceded per game in the last five matches, with a robust expected goals figure of 1.656, indicating strong offensive potential.
In stark contrast, Wolves have struggled significantly, failing to win any of their last three encounters and conceding a total of eight goals across these games. Their most recent defeats include a 3-0 loss at Fulham and a 2-0 setback against Sunderland, underscoring their defensive frailties. Wolves' advanced stats paint a grim picture, with an average of just 0.2 goals scored per game and a lack of clean sheets in their last five outings. Their expected goals figure of 0.56 further exposes their attacking inefficiencies.
Final Prediction
Chelsea's superior form, coupled with Wolves' ongoing struggles, sets the stage for a potentially one-sided affair. Chelsea's ability to capitalize on their goal-scoring opportunities, as evidenced by their expected goals metric, gives them a palpable edge. Watch for Chelsea's attacking prowess and Wolves' defensive resilience, or lack thereof, as key factors in determining the outcome of the match.