Premier League 2024-2025: Leicester vs Ipswich Prediction - 18 May 2025

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Leicester

Home Team
52%
VS

Ipswich

Away Team
24%
Draw: 24%
Over 2.5: 46%
Under 2.5: 54%
Goal: 52%
No Goal: 48%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 36 25 8 3 83 37 46 83
2 Arsenal 36 18 14 4 66 33 33 68
3 Newcastle 36 20 6 10 68 45 23 66
4 Man City 36 19 8 9 67 43 24 65
5 Chelsea 36 18 9 9 62 43 19 63
6 Aston Villa 36 18 9 9 56 49 7 63
7 Nott'm Forest 36 18 8 10 56 44 12 62
8 Brentford 36 16 7 13 63 53 10 55
9 Brighton 36 14 13 9 59 56 3 55
10 Bournemouth 36 14 11 11 55 43 12 53
11 Fulham 36 14 9 13 51 50 1 51
12 Crystal Palace 36 12 13 11 46 48 -2 49
13 Everton 36 9 15 12 39 44 -5 42
14 Wolves 36 12 5 19 51 64 -13 41
15 West Ham 36 10 10 16 42 59 -17 40
16 Man United 36 10 9 17 42 53 -11 39
17 Tottenham 36 11 5 20 63 59 4 38
18 Ipswich 36 4 10 22 35 77 -42 22
19 Leicester 36 5 7 24 31 78 -47 22
20 Southampton 36 2 6 28 25 82 -57 12

Recent Trends

Leicester D W L L D

  • Last Match: D vs Nott'm Forest (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: W vs Southampton (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: L vs Wolves (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Liverpool (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: D vs Brighton (Goals: 2 - 2)

Ipswich L D L L D

  • Last Match: L vs Brentford (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: D vs Everton (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: L vs Newcastle (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Arsenal (Goals: 0 - 4)
  • 5th Last Match: D vs Chelsea (Goals: 2 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Leicester

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.84
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.34
# Clean Sheets: 1

Ipswich

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.18
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.60
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Leicester and Ipswich at the King Power Stadium is predicted to lean in favor of the home team, Leicester, with a 52.0% probability of victory. Despite both teams struggling at the bottom of the Premier League standings, Leicester holds a slight edge in this matchup. The game is also expected to feature fewer than 2.5 goals, with only a 46.0% chance of exceeding this tally. Currently, Leicester occupies the 19th position, while Ipswich is just above them in 18th, both teams sharing 22 points, making this a crucial fixture in the relegation battle.

Match Analysis

Leicester's recent form has been a mixed bag, featuring a win, a draw, and a loss in their last three outings. A promising 2-0 home victory against Southampton was sandwiched between a 2-2 draw at Nott'm Forest and a disappointing 3-0 defeat to Wolves away. Their ability to score has been limited, with an average of just 0.4 goals per game in their last five matches, although they did manage a clean sheet against Southampton. Conversely, Leicester's defense has been porous, conceding an average of 2.2 goals per game. Ipswich, meanwhile, has struggled to find consistent form. A 0-1 home loss to Brentford and a heavy 3-0 away defeat to Newcastle highlight their defensive vulnerabilities. Their lone bright spot was a 2-2 draw away at Everton. Ipswich has averaged 1.2 goals per game but has yet to keep a clean sheet in their last five matches. Both teams' advanced metrics reveal defensive frailties, with Ipswich conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game and Leicester's expected goals against standing at 2.338.

Final Prediction

Leicester's predicted edge comes primarily from their home advantage and slightly better recent form. Despite both teams' defensive struggles, Leicester's ability to keep a clean sheet against Southampton may offer some hope. A key factor to watch will be Leicester's ability to capitalize on their chances, as both teams aim to escape the relegation zone with a crucial three points.

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