Premier League 2024-2025: Liverpool vs Everton Prediction - 2 Apr 2025

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Liverpool

Home Team
97%
VS

Everton

Away Team
1%
Draw: 2%
Over 2.5: 59%
Under 2.5: 41%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 29 21 7 1 69 27 42 70
2 Arsenal 29 16 10 3 53 24 29 58
3 Nott'm Forest 29 16 6 7 49 35 14 54
4 Chelsea 29 14 7 8 53 37 16 49
5 Man City 29 14 6 9 55 40 15 48
6 Newcastle 28 14 5 9 47 38 9 47
7 Brighton 29 12 11 6 48 42 6 47
8 Fulham 29 12 9 8 43 38 5 45
9 Aston Villa 29 12 9 8 41 45 -4 45
10 Bournemouth 29 12 8 9 48 36 12 44
11 Brentford 29 12 5 12 50 45 5 41
12 Crystal Palace 28 10 9 9 36 33 3 39
13 Man United 29 10 7 12 37 40 -3 37
14 Tottenham 29 10 4 15 55 43 12 34
15 Everton 29 7 13 9 32 36 -4 34
16 West Ham 29 9 7 13 33 49 -16 34
17 Wolves 29 7 5 17 40 58 -18 26
18 Ipswich 29 3 8 18 28 62 -34 17
19 Leicester 29 4 5 20 25 65 -40 17
20 Southampton 29 2 3 24 21 70 -49 9

Recent Trends

Liverpool W W W D W

  • Last Match: W vs Southampton (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: W vs Newcastle (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: W vs Man City (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: D vs Aston Villa (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Wolves (Goals: 2 - 1)

Everton D D D D W

  • Last Match: D vs West Ham (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: D vs Wolves (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: D vs Brentford (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: D vs Man United (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Crystal Palace (Goals: 2 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Liverpool

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.66
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.90
# Clean Sheets: 2

Everton

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.05
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.54
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming Merseyside derby between Liverpool and Everton is heavily tipped in favor of Liverpool, with an overwhelming 97% probability of a home victory. The Reds are expected to continue their dominance at Anfield, where they sit atop the Premier League standings with 70 points. Furthermore, there is a 59% chance that the match will see over 2.5 goals scored, promising an exciting encounter. Everton, currently positioned 15th in the league, face a daunting challenge in this fixture.

Match Analysis

Liverpool enter this clash in fine form, having secured victories in their last three matches. Their recent performances include a commanding 3-1 win at home against Southampton and a solid 2-0 triumph over Manchester City away. The Reds have been prolific in front of goal, averaging 2.6 goals per game over their last five matches, while maintaining a sturdy defense with only one goal conceded on average. Key to their success has been their ability to create and convert chances, as evidenced by their expected goals of 2.658 per game. In contrast, Everton's recent performances have been less inspiring, with three consecutive draws against West Ham, Wolves, and Brentford, all ending 1-1. Despite their resilience, the Toffees have struggled to find the back of the net consistently, scoring an average of just 1.0 goal per match in their last five outings. Defensively, they've been relatively steady, conceding an average of 0.8 goals per game, but their expected goals against of 1.544 suggests they have been somewhat fortunate to keep scores level.

Final Prediction

Liverpool's home advantage and formidable attacking prowess give them the clear edge in this derby. Their ability to both create and finish scoring opportunities sets them apart from Everton's recent struggles in front of goal. A key factor to watch will be Liverpool's ability to break down Everton's defenses early on, potentially setting the stage for a high-scoring affair.

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