Premier League 2025-2026: Man City vs Everton Prediction

Man City

Home Team
85%
VS

Everton

Away Team
7%
Draw: 8%
Over 2.5: 47%
Under 2.5: 53%
Goal: 50%
No Goal: 50%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 7 5 1 1 14 3 11 16
2 Liverpool 7 5 0 2 13 9 4 15
3 Tottenham 7 4 2 1 13 5 8 14
4 Bournemouth 7 4 2 1 11 8 3 14
5 Man City 7 4 1 2 15 6 9 13
6 Crystal Palace 7 3 3 1 9 5 4 12
7 Chelsea 7 3 2 2 13 9 4 11
8 Everton 7 3 2 2 9 7 2 11
9 Sunderland 7 3 2 2 7 6 1 11
10 Man United 7 3 1 3 9 11 -2 10
11 Newcastle 7 2 3 2 6 5 1 9
12 Brighton 7 2 3 2 10 10 0 9
13 Aston Villa 7 2 3 2 6 7 -1 9
14 Fulham 7 2 2 3 8 11 -3 8
15 Leeds 7 2 2 3 7 11 -4 8
16 Brentford 7 2 1 4 9 12 -3 7
17 Nott'm Forest 7 1 2 4 5 12 -7 5
18 Burnley 7 1 1 5 7 15 -8 4
19 West Ham 7 1 1 5 6 16 -10 4
20 Wolves 7 0 2 5 5 14 -9 2

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Man City

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.16
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.10
# Clean Sheets: 2

Everton

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.14
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.46
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

In the upcoming Premier League matchup, Manchester City is heavily favored to secure a victory against Everton, with an 85.0% probability of a home win. The likelihood of a draw stands at 8.0%, while Everton's chances of an upset are at a mere 7.0%. With both teams positioned within the top half of the table, Manchester City currently holds the 5th spot, while Everton sits in 8th place. The game is predicted to have fewer than 2.5 goals, indicating a tighter contest.

Match Analysis

Over their last three encounters, Manchester City has shown strong form with two victories and a draw, indicating their resilience and attacking prowess. Their recent 5-1 demolition of Burnley highlighted their offensive capabilities and home advantage, while securing a clean sheet against Brentford displayed their defensive solidity. City averages 2.67 goals per match, showing they have a potent attack that will be a major threat to Everton. Everton has had a mixed bag of results, with a win, a draw, and a loss in their last trio of games. Their victory against Crystal Palace was a morale booster, but the defeat to Liverpool showcased vulnerabilities, especially in away matches. Everton's average of 1.33 goals per game suggests they have some attacking threat, but their defense, conceding 1.67 goals on average, could be a concern against City's high-scoring attack.

Final Prediction

Manchester City's edge in this clash is underscored by their superior form and home advantage. Their ability to both score and defend robustly makes them the favorites to take all three points. A key factor to watch will be Manchester City's ability to break down Everton's defense and whether Everton can exploit any defensive lapses from City to find the back of the net.