Premier League 2025-2026: Newcastle vs Chelsea Prediction
Newcastle
Home Team
54%
VS
Chelsea
Away Team
23%
Draw: 23%
Over 2.5:
53%
Under 2.5:
47%
Goal:
56%
No Goal:
44%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 10 | 20 | 36 |
| 2 | Man City | 16 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 38 | 16 | 22 | 34 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 33 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 28 |
| 5 | Crystal Palace | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 26 |
| 6 | Man United | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 26 |
| 7 | Liverpool | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 26 |
| 8 | Sunderland | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 26 |
| 9 | Everton | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 24 |
| 10 | Brighton | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 23 |
| 11 | Tottenham | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
| 12 | Newcastle | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 22 |
| 13 | Bournemouth | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 21 |
| 14 | Fulham | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 20 |
| 15 | Brentford | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 20 |
| 16 | Nott'm Forest | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
| 17 | Leeds | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 16 |
| 18 | West Ham | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 13 |
| 19 | Burnley | 16 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 10 |
| 20 | Wolves | 16 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 35 | -26 | 2 |
Recent Trends
Newcastle
- Last Match: vs Sunderland (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Burnley (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Tottenham (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Everton (Goals: 4 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Man City (Goals: 2 - 1)
Chelsea
- Last Match: vs Everton (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Bournemouth (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Leeds (Goals: 1 - 3)
- 4th Last Match: vs Arsenal (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Burnley (Goals: 2 - 0)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Newcastle
Average Expected Goals (xG):
2.54
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.39
# Clean Sheets:
0
Chelsea
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.85
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.30
# Clean Sheets:
3
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Newcastle and Chelsea is predicted to favor the home side, with a 54% probability of a Newcastle victory. Chelsea has a lower chance at 23%, equal to the probability of a draw. The game is expected to be high-scoring, with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored. Currently, Chelsea is in 4th place with 28 points, while Newcastle sits at 12th with 22 points in the Premier League standings.
Match Analysis
Newcastle has shown a mixed bag of results in their last three outings, registering a win, a draw, and a loss. A notable highlight was their draw against Tottenham, a game where they found the back of the net twice. Despite their varied outcomes, Newcastle's recent performances include an average of 2 goals scored per game but have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five matches.
On the other hand, Chelsea's recent form includes a win against Everton and a goalless draw against Bournemouth, but they suffered a surprising loss to Leeds. The Blues have been solid defensively, evident in their three clean sheets over the last five matches, and have conceded an average of just 0.6 goals per game. Chelsea's attacking numbers, however, show room for improvement, with an average of 1.4 goals scored per game.
Final Prediction
Newcastle's edge in this encounter could be attributed to their offensive prowess, consistently scoring in recent games. Despite Chelsea's strong defensive record, Newcastle's ability to create and convert chances at home could prove decisive. Keep an eye on how Newcastle's attacking dynamics unfold, as their goal-scoring capacity might be the key factor in securing a victory against Chelsea.