Premier League 2024-2025: Newcastle vs Nott'm Forest Prediction - 23 Feb 2025

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Newcastle

Home Team
76%
VS

Nott'm Forest

Away Team
11%
Draw: 13%
Over 2.5: 60%
Under 2.5: 40%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 25 18 6 1 60 24 36 60
2 Arsenal 25 15 8 2 51 22 29 53
3 Nott'm Forest 25 14 5 6 41 29 12 47
4 Man City 25 13 5 7 52 35 17 44
5 Bournemouth 25 12 7 6 44 29 15 43
6 Chelsea 25 12 7 6 47 34 13 43
7 Newcastle 25 12 5 8 42 33 9 41
8 Fulham 25 10 9 6 38 33 5 39
9 Aston Villa 25 10 8 7 35 38 -3 38
10 Brighton 25 9 10 6 38 38 0 37
11 Brentford 25 10 4 11 43 42 1 34
12 Tottenham 25 9 3 13 49 37 12 30
13 Crystal Palace 25 7 9 9 29 32 -3 30
14 Everton 25 7 9 9 27 31 -4 30
15 Man United 25 8 5 12 28 35 -7 29
16 West Ham 25 7 6 12 29 47 -18 27
17 Wolves 25 5 4 16 35 54 -19 19
18 Ipswich 25 3 8 14 23 50 -27 17
19 Leicester 25 4 5 16 25 55 -30 17
20 Southampton 25 2 3 20 19 57 -38 9

Recent Trends

Newcastle L L W L W

  • Last Match: L vs Man City (Goals: 0 - 4)
  • 2nd Last Match: L vs Fulham (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: W vs Southampton (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Bournemouth (Goals: 1 - 4)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Wolves (Goals: 3 - 0)

Nott'm Forest L W L W D

  • Last Match: L vs Fulham (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: W vs Brighton (Goals: 7 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: L vs Bournemouth (Goals: 0 - 5)
  • 4th Last Match: W vs Southampton (Goals: 3 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: D vs Liverpool (Goals: 1 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Newcastle

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.20
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.24
# Clean Sheets: 1

Nott'm Forest

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.38
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.67
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Newcastle and Nottingham Forest is predicted to swing heavily in favor of the home team, Newcastle, with a probability of winning at 76.00%. The game is also expected to feature more than 2.5 goals, with a 60.00% likelihood of this outcome. Currently, Nottingham Forest sits in 3rd place in the Premier League standings, while Newcastle is positioned 7th, making this a critical encounter for both sides.

Match Analysis

In recent performances, Newcastle has shown a mixed bag of results. They suffered a heavy defeat to Manchester City away, conceding four goals without reply, and endured a narrow home loss to Fulham. However, they rebounded with a convincing 3-1 away victory against the struggling Southampton. Newcastle's offensive capabilities are evident from their average of 2.4 goals scored across their last five matches, although their defensive lapses have led to an average of 1.2 goals conceded per game. Nottingham Forest, on the other hand, experienced a rollercoaster of results. Their recent 7-0 demolition of Brighton at home was a standout performance, although this was sandwiched between disappointing away losses to Fulham and Bournemouth. Forest's scoring average of 1.6 goals in their last five games highlights their potential threat upfront, yet their defense has been more porous, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per game.

Final Prediction

Newcastle's edge in this contest is primarily due to their strong home presence and the ability to score consistently. Their recent victory away at Southampton suggests they can rebound from setbacks effectively. A key factor to watch will be Newcastle's attack, as they seek to exploit Forest's defensive vulnerabilities, aiming to secure a vital win that could propel them closer to the top four positions in the league.

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