Premier League 2024-2025: Nott'm Forest vs Leicester Prediction

Nott'm Forest

Home Team
78%
VS

Leicester

Away Team
9%
Draw: 12%
Over 2.5: 55%
Under 2.5: 45%
Goal: 52%
No Goal: 48%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 35 25 7 3 81 35 46 82
2 Arsenal 35 18 13 4 64 31 33 67
3 Man City 35 19 7 9 67 43 24 64
4 Newcastle 35 19 6 10 66 45 21 63
5 Chelsea 35 18 9 8 62 41 21 63
6 Nott'm Forest 35 18 7 10 54 42 12 61
7 Aston Villa 35 17 9 9 55 49 6 60
8 Bournemouth 35 14 11 10 55 42 13 53
9 Brentford 35 15 7 13 62 53 9 52
10 Brighton 35 13 13 9 57 56 1 52
11 Fulham 35 14 9 12 50 47 3 51
12 Crystal Palace 35 11 13 11 44 48 -4 46
13 Wolves 35 12 5 18 51 62 -11 41
14 Everton 35 8 15 12 36 43 -7 39
15 Man United 35 10 9 16 42 51 -9 39
16 Tottenham 35 11 5 19 63 57 6 38
17 West Ham 35 9 10 16 40 59 -19 37
18 Ipswich 35 4 10 21 35 76 -41 22
19 Leicester 35 5 6 24 29 76 -47 21
20 Southampton 35 2 5 28 25 82 -57 11

Recent Trends

Nott'm Forest ⚪ ❌ ✅ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Crystal Palace (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Brentford (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Tottenham (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Everton (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Aston Villa (Goals: 1 - 2)

Leicester ✅ ❌ ❌ ⚪ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Southampton (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Wolves (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Liverpool (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Brighton (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Newcastle (Goals: 0 - 3)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Nott'm Forest

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.52
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.34
# Clean Sheets: 0

Leicester

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.71
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.36
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

Nott'm Forest is predicted to secure a victory with a significant 78.0% probability, while Leicester has a slim 9.0% chance of winning. The likelihood of a draw stands at 12.0%. The match is anticipated to feature over 2.5 goals, with a 55.0% probability leaning towards a high-scoring affair. Currently, Nott'm Forest holds the 6th position in the Premier League, whereas Leicester languishes at the 19th spot, fighting to avoid relegation.

Match Analysis

In recent performances, Nott'm Forest has shown a mixed bag of results. They managed a commendable 2-1 victory away against Tottenham but slipped to a 0-2 defeat at home against Brentford. A hard-fought 1-1 draw away at Crystal Palace reflects some resilience. Despite these varied outcomes, their recent form suggests they can edge out a win, especially with their current standing in the league. Leicester, on the other hand, is struggling. Their only recent win came against Southampton with a 2-0 scoreline at home. They suffered a heavy 0-3 loss away to Wolves and a narrow 0-1 defeat at home to Liverpool. The team's scoring average in the last five games is a mere 0.4, with an alarming 2.0 goals conceded per match. This defensive frailty could be a key factor against a higher-ranked opponent like Nott'm Forest.

Final Prediction

Nott'm Forest's higher position in the league and Leicester's recent defensive vulnerabilities lend the home team an advantage in this encounter. A crucial aspect to watch will be how Leicester's defense handles the pressure from Nott'm Forest's attack, given their poor record of 76 goals conceded this season. Expect a competitive match where Nott'm Forest aims to capitalize on their superior standing and Leicester fights to stave off relegation.