Premier League 2025-2026: Tottenham vs Man United Prediction
Tottenham
Home Team
38%
VS
Man United
Away Team
37%
Draw: 24%
Over 2.5:
55%
Under 2.5:
45%
Goal:
56%
No Goal:
44%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 3 | 15 | 25 |
| 2 | Man City | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 8 | 12 | 19 |
| 3 | Liverpool | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 18 |
| 4 | Sunderland | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Bournemouth | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 18 |
| 6 | Tottenham | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 17 |
| 7 | Chelsea | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 17 |
| 8 | Man United | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 17 |
| 9 | Crystal Palace | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 16 |
| 10 | Brighton | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
| 11 | Aston Villa | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
| 12 | Brentford | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 | Newcastle | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 12 |
| 14 | Everton | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 12 |
| 15 | Fulham | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 11 |
| 16 | Leeds | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 11 |
| 17 | Burnley | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 10 |
| 18 | West Ham | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 7 |
| 19 | Nott'm Forest | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 6 |
| 20 | Wolves | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 22 | -15 | 2 |
Recent Trends
Tottenham
- Last Match: vs Chelsea (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Everton (Goals: 3 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Aston Villa (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Leeds (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Wolves (Goals: 1 - 1)
Man United
- Last Match: vs Nott'm Forest (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Brighton (Goals: 4 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Liverpool (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Sunderland (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Brentford (Goals: 1 - 3)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Tottenham
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.93
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.54
# Clean Sheets:
1
Man United
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.75
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.12
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
With a 38.0% probability, Tottenham is slightly favored to win against Manchester United, who have a 37.0% chance of victory. The likelihood of a draw stands at 24.0%. The match is expected to be high-scoring, with a 55.0% probability of over 2.5 goals. Currently, Tottenham and Manchester United are neck and neck in the Premier League, both sitting on 17 points, with Tottenham slightly ahead in 6th place due to goal difference, followed closely by United in 8th.
Match Analysis
Tottenham's recent form has been inconsistent. In their last three matches, they have managed just one win against Everton, with two defeats at home to Chelsea and Aston Villa. Their goal-scoring has been a concern, averaging only 1.0 goal per match in the last five games, and they have struggled defensively, conceding the same average. The expected goals data suggests they are underperforming in attack with an average of 0.926 expected goals, indicating potential inefficiencies in front of goal.
Manchester United, on the other hand, appear to be in slightly better form, having won two of their last three games, including a notable victory over Liverpool. They have shown more attacking promise, scoring an average of 1.2 goals per match, though their defense remains a concern, conceding an average of 2.0 goals. United's expected goals scored stand at 1.752, suggesting they have been more effective in creating scoring opportunities compared to Tottenham.
Final Prediction
Tottenham's slight edge in the predicted outcome may be attributed to their home advantage and a marginally better defensive record compared to United. However, Manchester United's recent attacking form could pose a significant threat. A key factor to watch will be how Tottenham's defense handles United’s ability to create chances, as this could be decisive in determining the outcome of the match.