Serie A 2025-2026: Fiorentina vs Roma Prediction
Fiorentina
Home Team
10%
VS
Roma
Away Team
79%
Draw: 10%
Over 2.5:
42%
Under 2.5:
58%
Goal:
52%
No Goal:
48%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Milan | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 12 |
| 2 | Napoli | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 12 |
| 3 | Roma | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 12 |
| 4 | Juventus | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 11 |
| 5 | Inter | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 9 |
| 6 | Atalanta | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 9 |
| 7 | Cremonese | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 | Como | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 8 |
| 9 | Bologna | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | Cagliari | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Udinese | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
| 12 | Lazio | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 13 | Sassuolo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 6 |
| 14 | Parma | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | Torino | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | -8 | 4 |
| 16 | Fiorentina | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 3 |
| 17 | Verona | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 3 |
| 18 | Pisa | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 | Genoa | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 2 |
| 20 | Lecce | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 2 |
Recent Trends
Fiorentina
- Last Match: vs Pisa (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Como (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Napoli (Goals: 1 - 3)
- 4th Last Match: vs Torino (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Cagliari (Goals: 1 - 1)
Roma
- Last Match: vs Verona (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Lazio (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Torino (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Pisa (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Bologna (Goals: 1 - 0)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Fiorentina
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.91
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.83
# Clean Sheets:
2
Roma
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.09
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
0.67
# Clean Sheets:
4
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Fiorentina and Roma sees the visiting team, Roma, as the clear favorite with a 79.0% probability of winning. Meanwhile, the chances of Fiorentina securing a victory stand at a mere 10.0%. With both teams expected to score, the likelihood of the match having over 2.5 goals is 42.0%, suggesting a more conservative scoreline. Roma is currently sitting comfortably in 3rd place on the Serie A table with 12 points, whereas Fiorentina finds themselves struggling at 16th with just 3 points.
Match Analysis
Fiorentina's recent performances have been less than stellar. Over their last three matches, they have drawn once and lost twice, managing only one goal in the process while conceding five. They are yet to secure a victory this season, and their current form has left them precariously close to the relegation zone. Fiorentina's average goals scored stand at just 1.0 per match in their last five outings, while conceding 2.5 on average, highlighting their defensive vulnerabilities.
Conversely, Roma has shown resilience and determination in their recent fixtures, securing two wins against Verona and Lazio, albeit suffering a narrow defeat to Torino. Impressively, Roma has kept four clean sheets in their last five games, which indicates a robust defensive setup. They have also averaged 1.0 goals scored per match in this period, with expected goals conceded at a low 0.665, showcasing their tight defense.
Final Prediction
Roma's superior form, particularly their defensive solidity, gives them a significant edge over Fiorentina. With a strong backline that has consistently kept opponents at bay, Roma is well-positioned to capitalize on Fiorentina's defensive frailties. A key factor to watch in this encounter will be Roma's ability to maintain their defensive discipline, which could be crucial in determining the outcome of the match.