Torino
Serie A · ELO profile, season forecast & model record
Season ELO trajectory
One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time; second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.
Season simulation
2026-27 season forecast
Projected: #13 of 20 48.4 expected pts · pre-season forecast
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date — the dashed stretch covers rounds still to be played. Lower is better.
Full Serie A simulation — every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
2025-26 — what the model simulated, and what happened
Final: #13 of 20 in Serie A 45 pts · 12W–9D–17L · GD -19
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date. Lower is better.
Full Serie A simulation — every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
How predictable is Torino?
In line with the league 2025-26 · 32 predicted matches
We grade every match forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade; say 70% and it does not, bad grade — and the more confident we were, the bigger the penalty. Averaged over the season, Torino's results were 7.1% harder to call than the Serie A average. How this is measured.
| Market | Torino | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | 56.2% | 52.5% |
| Under/Over 2.5 goals | 28.1% | 51.9% |
| Both teams to score | 46.9% | 50.3% |
Share of predicted matches our as-published prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average over the same season.
Season by season
| Season | League | Pos | Start | Peak | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | Serie A | #14 | 1476 | 1510 | 1452 |
| 2024-25 | Serie A | #13 | 1502 | 1569 | 1434 |
| 2023-24 | Serie A | #9 | 1498 | 1563 | 1548 |
| 2022-23 | Serie A | #9 | 1529 | 1560 | 1535 |
| 2021-22 | Serie A | #11 | 1471 | 1549 | 1491 |
| 2020-21 | Serie A | #14 | 1482 | 1490 | 1430 |
| 2019-20 | Serie A | #17 | 1518 | 1548 | 1388 |
| 2018-19 | Serie A | #7 | 1471 | 1613 | 1592 |
| 2017-18 | Serie A | #8 | 1502 | 1566 | 1546 |
| 2016-17 | Serie A | #8 | 1482 | 1579 | 1514 |
| 2015-16 | Serie A | #13 | 1529 | 1568 | 1456 |
| 2014-15 | Serie A | #9 | 1498 | 1587 | 1518 |
ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.
Recent matches — model vs reality
| Date | Opponent | Model said | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | at Cagliari | L Torino 33.7% · draw 25.9% | L ✓ |
| May 08, 2026 | vs Sassuolo | W Torino 41.0% · draw 26.7% | W ✓ |
| May 02, 2026 | at Udinese | L Torino 32.5% · draw 23.9% | L ✓ |
| Apr 26, 2026 | vs Inter | L Torino 16.0% · draw 15.9% | D ✗ |
| Apr 19, 2026 | at Cremonese | W Torino 49.6% · draw 23.1% | D ✗ |
| Apr 11, 2026 | vs Verona | W Torino 54.4% · draw 22.4% | W ✓ |
| Apr 05, 2026 | at Pisa | W Torino 40.5% · draw 25.4% | W ✓ |
| Mar 21, 2026 | at Milan | L Torino 10.3% · draw 12.3% | L ✓ |
| Mar 13, 2026 | vs Parma | W Torino 50.7% · draw 23.8% | W ✓ |
| Mar 06, 2026 | at Napoli | L Torino 14.1% · draw 15.6% | L ✓ |
Reuse this data — CC BY 4.0
The Serie A title odds & club ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0 — attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:
Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/torino">Serie A title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)Or embed the live, self-updating widget (the credit link is built in):
<iframe src="https://www.predixsport.com/embed/title-odds/serie_a"
width="360" height="430" style="border:0;border-radius:10px" loading="lazy"
title="Serie A title odds & club ELO ratings — Predixsport"></iframe>
<a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/torino">Serie A title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a>