Serie A 2025-2026: Juventus vs Lecce Prediction

Juventus

Home Team
94%
VS

Lecce

Away Team
2%
Draw: 4%
Over 2.5: 50%
Under 2.5: 50%
Goal: 49%
No Goal: 51%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 16 12 0 4 35 14 21 36
2 Milan 16 10 5 1 27 13 14 35
3 Napoli 16 11 1 4 24 13 11 34
4 Roma 17 11 0 6 20 11 9 33
5 Juventus 17 9 5 3 23 15 8 32
6 Como 16 7 6 3 22 12 10 27
7 Bologna 16 7 5 4 24 14 10 26
8 Lazio 17 6 6 5 18 12 6 24
9 Sassuolo 17 6 4 7 22 21 1 22
10 Atalanta 17 5 7 5 20 19 1 22
11 Udinese 17 6 4 7 18 28 -10 22
12 Cremonese 17 5 6 6 18 20 -2 21
13 Torino 17 5 5 7 17 28 -11 20
14 Cagliari 17 4 6 7 19 24 -5 18
15 Parma 16 4 5 7 11 18 -7 17
16 Lecce 16 4 4 8 11 22 -11 16
17 Genoa 17 3 5 9 17 27 -10 14
18 Verona 16 2 6 8 13 25 -12 12
19 Pisa 17 1 8 8 12 24 -12 11
20 Fiorentina 17 1 6 10 17 28 -11 9

Recent Trends

Juventus ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Pisa (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Roma (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Bologna (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Napoli (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Cagliari (Goals: 2 - 1)

Lecce ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Como (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Pisa (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Cremonese (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Torino (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Lazio (Goals: 0 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Juventus

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.09
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.95
# Clean Sheets: 2

Lecce

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.85
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.51
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Juventus and Lecce is tipped to heavily favor the home side, Juventus, with a towering 94% probability of securing victory. Conversely, Lecce's chances of success sit at a modest 2%, with a draw unlikely at 4%. The game is anticipated to feature fewer than 2.5 goals, aligning with Juventus's position as the 5th team in Serie A and Lecce at 16th.

Match Analysis

Juventus comes into this fixture on the back of an impressive three-game winning streak, including a commanding 2-0 away win over Pisa and a solid 2-1 victory at home against Roma. Their defense has been particularly robust, boasting two clean sheets in their last three outings. This defensive solidity is reflected in their advanced metrics, with an average of just 0.6 goals conceded and 0.948 expected goals conceded in their last five matches. In contrast, Lecce's recent form has been inconsistent, with two losses and a solitary win in their last three games. Most notably, they suffered a heavy 3-0 defeat at home to Como. Offensively, they have struggled, registering an average of 0.8 goals per game in their last five matches. Their defensive vulnerabilities are evident as well, with an average of 1.4 goals conceded per game, underscoring the challenges they face against a potent Juventus attack.

Final Prediction

Juventus holds a clear edge in this encounter, largely due to their recent form and defensive prowess. Their ability to limit opponents' scoring opportunities, combined with Lecce's offensive struggles, makes them the favorites. A key factor to watch will be Juventus's ability to capitalize on Lecce's defensive lapses, which could be decisive in determining the match's outcome.